Chris78

Waiting for a -pna to pop up on the models for our storm.

Another sub 20" season seems to be coming for Northern MD. 5 years in a row now for MBY. Worst stretch since records have been kept at hgr. (1899). Truly pathetic. I'll have to double check but my average the last 5 years has been 12" i believe. About 40% of climo.

Never good to wake up to Chuck posting by himself in the long range thread

I'm still waiting on my 15" the euro game me 24 hours before the last storm.

If I can get 17" out of this I'll be at climo

As you like to say we're at the cross roads 3 days out. Do we get the north trend or the ussual which is the opposite of what we need lol?

Goes south

Ukie says no thanks

What a crappy model

Canadian snows on us.

And neither gives us any snow lol

Icon is way north. Rain way up into PA

12z euro AI is even more suppressed lol.

Definitely says the OP is a further norther and warmer outlier

Not sure how much of the Aigfs is snow but if that's all rain with that track and the cold we've had for weeks that would be a he'll of a gut punch

Seems like I- 81 corridor might be the best place to be but even there it's gonna must likely flip. Of course an outcome like the Icon and its rain for everyone well up into the North East. 06z GEFS illustrates the snow chances the further NW you go

I hate to interrupt PSU and Chucks ongoing dissertation but the Ukie snows on us at the end of its run. Looks like it would be a snow to rain situation but looked like a thump was happening at hour 168

If precip makes it far enough north you guys should be in good shape up there. We're gonna need a perfect track down here and it might still not be enough.

Definitely threading the needle. It would need a perfect track to have a portion of the storm as snow. Imo

Do you think the Euro OP would of started as snow? It's about 6 to 12 hours quicker compared to 12z which may of helped.

It really wasn't a flush hit though. If we didn't have historic cold it would of been a big old Rainer. It amplified so far west were lucky we got any snow out of it.

Let's go! Time for a nice reversal today! Nice way to start out the 12z suite

Lol. Come on man. Gfs/cmc and Euro AI all give us snow. Still 7 days out. Long way to go

Cmc appears to be a modest hit.

I'm not sure if your actually just trying to troll or not but I'm saying this to try to be helpful to you. 99.9 % of this forum is looking for snow. It's ok to post about models that are warm or showing cutters but your also leaving out other models that are a hit or suppressed like pretty much the euro suite or even the operational Canadian. Feels like you have an agenda. There's a wide range of possibilities for next weekend but for some reason you keep harping on any model run that shows a cutter or posting 2m temp maps of 2 days after the potential storm would be over. I see that your newer here but I would suggest reading more and posting less. I was a member for years before ever posting anything. I was just reading and learning. People aren't going to be receptive if your just posting the same thing over and over again. Again not bullying you. Just giving you some feedback that I think may be helpful.