winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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Yeah it worked out pretty well for our area. Not cold enough for the freezing rain to cause very serious problems, but a beautiful scene with the trees coated with ice. I know most people don't want ice, but it's one of nature's most beautiful scenes.
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NWS has a high temp of 44 for my area tomorrow. Temps are going to spike pretty good tomorrow afternoon when the sun comes out. Should be plenty of mid 40s. So yeah, anything we get will melt quickly.
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Yeah it was impressive how the HRRR nailed the February snow event 48 hours in advance, when so many other models were showing little to nothing.
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Still looks as if it keeps NYC all frozen for the main part of the event. Several hours of sleet and then several hours of freezing rain. Then a little light plain rain at the end.
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Yeah it is time consuming looking at all the models.
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If not snowier, hopefully it will mean more sleet than freezing rain. Been awhile since we've had a significant amount of sleet here. It would be cool.
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We weather enthusiasts are strange people, but there's nothing wrong with being strange.
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Now it's 70 here. Absolutely beautiful. Great to be outside with just a t-shirt on.
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69 degrees here.
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59 degrees here. Beautiful out there.
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CMC just came in colder than last night's run. Quite a bit of sleet and freezing rain. The chance of getting snow from this event is fading, but ice is another story. If it happens, hopefully we'll get more sleet than freezing rain.
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Yeah, the CMC came in colder than the 12z run. Gives us quite a bit of sleet. Way too early to know what precip types we're gonna have.
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Yeah it was a really nice snow squall here too. Complete whiteout conditions for a little while. However it only briefly lightly dusted grassy areas because the temps were so warm. When the sun came out before the squall we shot up to 44 degrees here. We probably would have picked up a quick half inch had the temp been 5 degrees colder. Would've been an awesome squall event had temps been a little colder, but it was still nice to see.
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Big difference for you though since you're way to the west. I just hit 44 degrees here. It's not going to be as much of an issue for warmer areas near the coast.
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The temp here is up to 43, so very unlikely we will see any accumulation from the snow squall. RGEM changes it over to rain by the time it gets here too, so that's possible. Too bad the temps are not a little bit colder to make this snow squall event more interesting.
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Yeah not nearly as good as GFS, but it's an improvement.
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12z Euro cuts the storm way to the west, so it's much warmer than GFS and GGEM. Obviously a long way to go.
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Now up to 68 here.
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I find 60s very comfortable. Looking forward to running with a t-shirt on this afternoon. I love winter and snow, but it's nice to have some of these very warm days mixed in. I don't mind the more Colorado style winters that we've had in recent years, with the combination of warmer temps but still getting plenty of snow.
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Now up to 67 here. No surprise that the warmth is overperforming.
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12z GGEM shows a significant winter storm next thursday night into friday. Snow to ice back to snow. Obviously a long way to go, but we certainly have something to watch.
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66 degrees here. What a day.
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Yeah some spots got more, but it was a 2 to 4 inch snowfall for the majority of the area. But definitely much more than snowman predicted. I'm glad the early March pattern is looking interesting. We'll need a good March snowstorm to get to normal snowfall here west of the city. Hopefully the pattern will deliver.
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With weather it's great to have variety. Snow is my favorite, but I wouldn't want it all year round. All of the seasons have good things to offer. I enjoy all of them.
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2/13 Light/Moderate Snowfall Nowcasting & Observations
winterwx21 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
HRRR did a great job with this event. I remember rooting hard for HRRR to be correct about getting several inches up here when most other models were showing little or saying you'd have to go south of the NYC area get more than an inch or so. It was impressive how HRRR picked up on the idea of northern areas getting several inches at 48 hours out and locked into that solution over the 2 days leading up to the event. It never wavered a bit with the snowy solution. Definitely a nice victory for the HRRR.
