winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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Freeze watch tomorrow night. Probably gonna get down to 31 or 30 here. Some people got fooled by the hot weather this week and planted tomato plants. Those people are going to be in trouble tomorrow night.
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Latest HRRR says a tenth of an inch or less for most of the area, and it appears that will be the case based on the way radar looks. Just light rain for a couple hours. Frustrating because we really need rain.
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Downpours missing me just a few miles to the west. Too bad because it's so dry out there. However these downpours today are so tiny that they probably wouldn't have helped very much anyway. I'm having to water my broccoli and romaine lettuce plants almost every day with this warm dry pattern. I hope we're not going back into the drought, but it appears that there's a good chance it's going to happen. Not much rain in sight.
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Still looks like frost/freeze Monday night. That will be quite a shock to the system after this week's 90 degree heat.
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Maybe frost next Monday night? The cool shot for early next week looks pretty impressive. 78 here right now. Probably upper 80s here tomorrow. We should hit 90 Wednesday and Thursday.
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28 was the low for a second morning in a row here. Very likely our last time below freezing until next fall/winter. The weather pattern looks very warm moving forward. Looks like some 85 to 90 degree temps next week.
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Temp dropping very quickly with these strong east winds. It was 75 here earlier but now down to 60.
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Already 78 here. Probably gonna hit 82 this afternoon.
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Although you can plant the cold tolerant vegetables like broccoli and lettuce now. I'm planning on starting my vegetable garden tomorrow.
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It feels terrible out there right now. I'm really looking forward to the warmer weather for Friday and the weekend. I see GFS is showing a major cold shot for us at the end of the month. Hopefully it's wrong -- long range so who the heck knows.
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Yep snow is #1 and severe t-storms are #2.
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That was one heck of a squall line. Had some 60mph gusts here. Very impressive to get a severe storm this time of year and this time of night.
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Still just 40 degrees here. We're not gonna get anywhere near the forecast high temps today with the cloudy skies and east winds. A nasty raw day today.
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Rain/Thunder and Anafrontal Snow
winterwx21 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
The snow is coming down moderately now, but of course not accumulating with the temp at 37. -
Rain/Thunder and Anafrontal Snow
winterwx21 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Starting to see some snowflakes mixing in here. -
81 here right now!
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73 degrees here right now. With the sunshine it's perfect weather.
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72 degrees here! No surprise to see temps overperforming.
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It spiked quickly. Up to 68 here now. Beautiful.
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Already 60 here. Should see upper 60s later today, and I'm looking forward to 70s the next few days. We deserve some warm weather now after the very cold winter.
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In addition to tomorrow's snow, we still have to watch Tuesday for the snow changing to rain event. I see 18z RGEM actually gives us a pretty good hit of snow Tuesday morning. The cold air is moving out on Tuesday, but we can get an inch or two if it starts early enough in the morning.
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It appears that the Tuesday wave is going to stay intact, but the problem is the cold air is moving out. The question is how much snow, if any, will we get before it changes to rain. Today's GFS gives us a little front end snow.
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Yeah it's obvious now that Monday is going to be suppressed to the south and shredded. Our hope to get a little accumulating snow is Tuesday, but of course the problem Tuesday is the cold air is moving out. So that looks like a mix storm with snow changing to rain. We need the Tuesday wave to come in early in the morning like last night's Euro showed. If that happens we can get a couple inches of snow before it changes to rain.
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The Euro AIFS is good with the Monday wave and gives us a few inches of snow during the day. On the regular Euro the Monday wave falls apart, but it gives us a snow changing to rain event on Tuesday. Obviously the models are very confused. It'll be awhile be we know what's going to happen.
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CMC did go south compared to the 12z run though. It keeps the significant snow down in southern Jersey and brushes us with 1 to 2 inches up here. Still a long way to go with this one though. We have a shot. At least we know it will be plenty cold for accumulating snow Monday, but hopefully it won't get pushed too far south.
