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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    It's a beautiful scene out there with the trees coated with the wet snow.
  2. winterwx21
    Moderate snow and 33 degrees. A dusting on colder surfaces now. Maybe we can get an inch on colder surfaces here.
  3. winterwx21
    What are you talking about with Tuesday? Tuesday is dry and cold.
  4. winterwx21
    Euro keeps thew heavier snow to the south and brushes us with a moderate amount of snow. Not bad. We're talking 4 and a half days until first flakes, so we have a long way to go before we have a good idea on snow amounts for our area. Obviously a miss isn't out of the question too, but the potential looks good.
  5. winterwx21
    Yeah models like RGEM and HRRR have gotten warmer for our area. A slushy inch on colder surfaces at most for our area, but now I'm skeptical that even that will happen. It will be nice to see the flakes coming down though, and it'll be a nice little event for areas to the north and west.
  6. winterwx21
    Wow, that certainly is great news. I didn't think that would happen. That was the worst OT I've ever seen on any board.
  7. winterwx21
    GFS a miss while the CMC has mixing issues for the coast -- shows the range of possibilities. Obviously we'll be seeing lots of different solutions the next few days before we get a good idea, so I wouldn't get too high or low with each model run.
  8. winterwx21
    Kind of funny that the NAM models gave much less on the 12z run but then the Euro beefs it up. Those NAM models are terrible. Euro, UKMET and RGEM all look pretty good. I'm guessing NAM will beef it back up a bit tonight. We have a decent chance to get 2 inches but it's probably more on colder surfaces.
  9. winterwx21
    Of course we're gonna go back and forth for days with solutions that hit us and solutions that miss us. It'll be a long time before we know, but at least we have major potential. This will be interesting to track.
  10. winterwx21
    Pretty impressive to be getting below normal temps in all 3 months of met winter. I know this was the first time in 7 years that both December and January were below normal. I wonder how long it has been since all 3 months were below normal like what is happening this winter. Feels strange to be having a cold winter during these days of climate change.
  11. winterwx21
    Yeah it looks like the type of event in which the accumulation would be mostly on colder surfaces.
  12. winterwx21
    This one not as fun because it would quickly get washed away by all the rain, but I would still gladly take a snowy Saturday afternoon with 1 to 3 inches. Hopefully we can get this little thump.
  13. winterwx21
    GFS would be the story of our winter, lol. Another light snowfall while areas to the south get hit hard. We're talking almost a week away though, so no one has a good idea what's gonna happen with this one. At least there's good potential and we have something interesting to track.
  14. winterwx21
    It's running now thankfully.
  15. winterwx21
    Not good for us weather nerds.
  16. winterwx21
    Way too early to get excited, but Wednesday into Thursday looks like our best potential so far this winter.
  17. winterwx21
    13.5" for the season here. Not doing too bad in the snowfall department, but a little disappointing to be slightly below normal considering how cold it has been. We can nickel and dime our way to 20 inches, but hopefully we'll see a significant snowstorm at some point so we can get to average snowfall (high 20s here) for the season.
  18. winterwx21
    Ended up with 1.5" here. Nice little event. I wish we could have gotten a few inches like all those NAM runs showed, but not a surprise since the NAM models are terrible. The more reasonable models like Euro did well with this event. There were many model runs that kept showing 1.5 to 2 for a lot of the area, and they ended up being right on the money.
  19. winterwx21
    Yeah that batch in eastern PA definitely weakened. After pretty much just flurries here for an hour during that lull, it has now picked back up to light snow with those slightly better echoes moving in. This last little batch of light snow might be just enough to get us to 1.5" here in Piscataway. I see the better echoes are missing me a few miles to the south. Time for me to finally try to get some sleep now, lol.
  20. winterwx21
    Went outside to measure before going to bed. 1.2" here in Piscataway at 1:15am. Very light snow with tiny flakes continues. It takes forever to get to 1 inch with this type of snow. I see on radar there are some better returns in eastern PA. Maybe we can get a little better burst at the end of the event to end up somewhere between 1.5 and 2 here. NAM models not surprisingly were overdone, but there were many other models the last couple days that showed this area getting 1.5 to 2. Good job by Euro and a few other models. I know some people are only interested in bigger storms and of course I'd rather have one, but I still really enjoy these little 1 to 2 inch snow events. It's beautiful out there. I'm glad it's going to be cloudy with temps only making it slightly above freezing later today, so there won't be a lot of melting. Nice that we'll get to enjoy this snow for a day.
  21. winterwx21
    Not impossible, but SnowGoose certainly has a good point. And a couple days ago there were models showing us getting a couple inch front end with tomorrow night's storm, but now it appears that won't happen. Too early to tell if we're gonna pull off a little front end accumulation with the weekend storm. Like SnoSki said, mid to late next week is the next really interesting potential. Hopefully we can finally get a more significant snowstorm, but a very long way to go on that one.
  22. winterwx21
    I was just outside as well. Beautiful. I measured 0.8" here. Radar doesn't look too bad. I think we're on track to get about an inch and a half here. Looks like a compromise between the underdone HRRR and overdone NAM runs that we saw before the storm.
  23. winterwx21
    Another light snowfall in this winter of nickel and dimes, but it's beautiful out there. This beats the sleet that we had the other night.
  24. winterwx21
    The street is coated here now too. Good to see it accumulating, but it's very slow accumulation with these light snowfall rates. I think we get around an inch here, maybe an inch and a half if we're lucky.
  25. winterwx21
    HRRR and NAM 3km moved towards each other and came into agreement as this event got underway. Definitely looks as if NAM was overdone and HRRR was underdone before the event. Models are usually more and more accurate the closer you get to an event, so it's always still time to watch them.
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