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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    I'd be happy with the ICON solution too. 3 inches would seem like a pretty good event after all the half inch to 1 inch events we've had this winter.
  2. winterwx21
    Yeah long range NAM is terrible, but the fact that it's THAT far out to sea is a pretty good hint that the RGEM is way off. I'm not gonna worry about the Canadian models since they're alone with a wildly different solution than all other models.
  3. winterwx21
    Nice to see the dusting out there.
  4. winterwx21
    It would be impressive to have a January that finishes 4 degrees below normal. A real winter month for a change.
  5. winterwx21
    The Canadian models have been the warm/amped models. Everything else gives us all snow.
  6. winterwx21
    Looks like three nights in a row next week that we're gonna have a low temp of around 5 degrees here. Very impressive cold.
  7. winterwx21
    LOL he admits that he trolls a lot. He literally has said many times that he's not genuine with a lot of the stuff he posts. Of course that doesn't mean that he isn't a good meteorologist though. Some of his posts are valuable.
  8. winterwx21
    Forky hates snow weenies and loves to troll. I doubt he really thinks it will be mostly rain Sunday.
  9. winterwx21
    A Couple days ago the CMC was showing rain even well to the NW, before it started to correct somewhat. We know that model has been way off. Not very likely that it's gonna rain Sunday.
  10. winterwx21
    UKMET continues to look good. Plenty cold with a solid 3 to 5 inch hit for most of the area.
  11. winterwx21
    After the UKMET looked very nice, I was hoping the Euro would show an improvement. No dice. It just brushes us with a coating of snow. CMC is probably overdone and will likely continue to correct, but hopefully the fact that it's so amped is a sign that the southeast/weak models are also off. I'm hoping we can pull off a middle ground solution like tonight's UKMET is showing. Obviously though with still 3 and a half days to go, anything is still on the table. We probably won't have a good idea until Friday or Saturday.
  12. winterwx21
    A little early to talk accumulations, but right now I'd go 1 to 3 for Sunday. CMC is obviously out to lunch with its warm solution. Hopefully we can get a couple inches on the ground for the cold next week ... it would really feel like deep winter.
  13. winterwx21
    The timing for this potential little snow wave seems to be moving up too. Euro and some other models now have it Sunday afternoon instead of late Sunday night into Monday. Let's hope we can pull off a light snow event Sunday and then a more significant one mid next week. Glad we have some things to track.
  14. winterwx21
    I agree. I was half joking with my comment. I could see the Sunday night into Monday wave becoming a moderate event, but a long way to go on that one. It'll be quite awhile before we have a better idea on next week's threats.
  15. winterwx21
    This is the winter of light snowfalls for our area, so it would make sense. We'll probably get another inch next Sunday night lol. At least it would stay on the ground with the very cold weather next week.
  16. winterwx21
    The departure for January should increase though with the cold coming next week and in the long range. Don Sutherland's latest estimate is that January will finish 3 degrees below normal.
  17. winterwx21
    GFS looked interesting as well. Long range for late January has potential. The light snow events have been nice, but we really need a more significant event.
  18. winterwx21
    Hopefully we can still pull off a snowstorm or two if we have a warm February. Last winter our area got lucky with the 2 snowstorms in one week in February.
  19. winterwx21
    Yeah that was weird how HRRR took away the snow for a few runs after the 0z run. Obviously an error. It's annoying how inconsistent that model can be. Anyway I got 0.6" here. Not bad. We got our half inch to inch as expected, although I see some spots got lucky and got up to an inch and a half. Another nice little light snow event. Pretty out there. We've nickel and dimed our way to 6 inches on the season here. Not too bad, but I hope we get a bigger event later January. Obviously we won't be able to continue to nickel and dime our way to near near normal snowfall all season. We need some bigger events.
  20. winterwx21
    I see RGEM just bumped up to an inch for our area too. Good to see that our area is looking good for an inch on the 0z models. I know we want much more, but we were pretty happy with how nice it looked outside on Monday when we got the inch. These small events are still nice. I'll be happy if we have an inch on the ground tomorrow morning.
  21. winterwx21
    Feels much better out there at 39 degrees with much less wind. I'm leaving now for deer hunting. I did not go the last 3 days ... there was no way in hell I was gonna sit up in a tree with 40mph winds and brutal wind chills, lol. But today isn't bad.
  22. winterwx21
    Yeah Euro had been the model showing almost nothing for many runs. Now that it's showing this, I'm more confident that we won't get just a dusting. Looks like a half inch to an inch. Hopefully we'll get an inch like we did on Monday.
  23. winterwx21
    That's a good bump up by the Euro. Hopefully Euro and HRRR are correct about our area getting an inch. It sucks that we aren't getting any bigger snowstorms, but at least we're getting several light events during the cold pattern.
  24. winterwx21
    Yeah we need a bigger storm soon or this will start to get annoying. It still is much better than getting nothing though. It appears that we still have a shot at getting an inch early tomorrow morning. Latest NAM went a little south, but 12z HRRR gives our area close to an inch. Hopefully we can pull off an inch rather than just a dusting.
  25. winterwx21
    Tonight's GFS says we get close to an inch. I really wish we could get something even just slightly better like a 2 to 4 inch event, but to me an inch is a lot better than nothing so I continue to root for it. I'll take a snowy early Saturday morning with an inch on the ground. Hopefully it'll happen. Right now a half inch to 1 inch looks like a good call. Euro has been showing almost nothing, so hopefully it'll improve tonight.
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