Yanksfan
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Everything posted by Yanksfan
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GFS has a 1044 high in West Virginia which suppresses the storm out to see. The CMC has a trough instead which allows the storm to come right up the coast. Interested to see what EURO has to say. -
With the lack of snow in the NYC metro area (this includes NE Jersey) in recent years, I would get the usual gruff from friends and family that would say it’s climate change better get used to it. Now we finally have the cold air this winter and we still cant cash in. The response I hear is confluence and improper trough alignment, Yet when there’s a cutter forecast from 10 days out, you can bet the mortgage it’s a lock. My point is it just comes down to bad luck nothing more.
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To stay away from any conflict, I think you’re both right. Yes the EPS was an improvement but there’s obviously more work to be done. Until the Euro gets fully on board, I’m not diving in yet. Been burned too many times my friends.
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We need the Euro to come on board. Don’t necessarily need to see what the GFS is showing, but marked improvements would make the snow weenies happy.
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Wow. You can argue the EPS is just as ominous as what the GFS is showing next weekend. Not getting sucked in just yet; let’s give it a few days. The raging Pacific Jet concerns me that it could put the kabosh on it.
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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
Yanksfan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Meteorologist Craig Allen says with the latest north trends he’s calling for 1-3 for NNJ and the city, with 3-6 for Central and Southern sections. -
You would think with a 500mb depiction like that I would end up with 2 feet of snow. Clown map says more like 2 inches!
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6z GFS takes the 2nd wave up the coast as a 963mb snow bomb. Another OP run another solution. It’s all about timing, spacing and a little luck. The type of pattern where we could cash in big time or end up empty handed. Right now I’m fairly confident with a solution somewhere in the middle.
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Everything is cyclical with the weather. I lived thru the ‘80’s. I thought it would never snow again.
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3” in Nutley township. Hopefully a good omen for this winter. Boy we need it.
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So we go from a Canadian clipper that never enters the US to suppression depression in 12 hours. Gotta love the GFS.
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If that depiction ever came to fruition I wouldn’t worry too much. The big dogs always correct north as you draw closer in time.
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Sweet.☃️
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Hope that track is a recurring theme this winter.
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Until that mega warm blob weakens in time or migrates east in a more favorable position, it won’t matter if we even have a raging southern jet this winter. That’s a no go for snow for the eastern folks.
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My business manager is driving down there for a wedding in a couple of days.
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Ya think???
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Yep. Take 1983 for example. Pattern was awful that season then came the big dog. One storm is all it took.
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Getting clobbered with very heavy rainfall. Radar looks like some training going on.
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My expectations this upcoming winter is at an all time low. Central based LaNina, -PDO, solar max, not to mention a warming climate. I’m calling it right now. Central Park will be shut out as far as snowfall is concerned.
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Basically snow lovers in the east are screwed with any ENSO state as long as that pool of boiling water in the western pacific remains. We need it to either migrate east or hope for a big cooldown neither of which appears to be happening anytime soon.
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So you’re saying that I have to put up with another five years of warm snowless winters? No thanks. Time to sell the house honey and shuffle off to Buffalo!
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Euro is off its rocker.
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Good start to the season for all those ACE score enthusiasts out there.
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Looks like a TD to me after looking at the latest satellite imagery.
