Yanksfan

In an alternate universe I would have loved to see March 2001 having lived up to its full potential. I’ll never forget the forecast write up from the NWS a few days before the big bust occurred. Downright ominous.

I want a damn KU event. We’re overdue. Make it happen!

I’d be surprised if they don’t. Warnings need to be extended into the rest of North Jersey, the City and LI.

I know this is insignificant in the grand scheme of things but I think Upton is playing it conservative. I think they should have gone with warnings for Hudson, Union, and the remainder of Essex counties. The city I believe should remain as an advisory with the risk of mixing, but if recent trends continue with the meso models getting colder the city just might achieve warning level status when all is said and done.

NAM looks juicy!

I live in Nutley township. Currently there are no advisories. Just 3 miles away in Clifton they are under a watch. Talk about being on the fence!

Euro OP we toss.

Woah. Now that’s a move west!

GFS has a 1044 high in West Virginia which suppresses the storm out to see. The CMC has a trough instead which allows the storm to come right up the coast. Interested to see what EURO has to say.

With the lack of snow in the NYC metro area (this includes NE Jersey) in recent years, I would get the usual gruff from friends and family that would say it’s climate change better get used to it. Now we finally have the cold air this winter and we still cant cash in. The response I hear is confluence and improper trough alignment, Yet when there’s a cutter forecast from 10 days out, you can bet the mortgage it’s a lock. My point is it just comes down to bad luck nothing more.

To stay away from any conflict, I think you’re both right. Yes the EPS was an improvement but there’s obviously more work to be done. Until the Euro gets fully on board, I’m not diving in yet. Been burned too many times my friends.

We need the Euro to come on board. Don’t necessarily need to see what the GFS is showing, but marked improvements would make the snow weenies happy.

Wow. You can argue the EPS is just as ominous as what the GFS is showing next weekend. Not getting sucked in just yet; let’s give it a few days. The raging Pacific Jet concerns me that it could put the kabosh on it.

Meteorologist Craig Allen says with the latest north trends he’s calling for 1-3 for NNJ and the city, with 3-6 for Central and Southern sections.

You would think with a 500mb depiction like that I would end up with 2 feet of snow. Clown map says more like 2 inches!