backedgeapproaching

Seems like there is going to be some screw zones somewhere. EEN down through Hippy's area seems to show up on a lot of models. Expecting a little less here too on the western slopes with raging E/NE winds. Maybe make it up some when winds turn N/NW. Super tricky forecast, going to be interesting to see this play out.

April was always my favorite month in the Mid Atl. No bugs and lots of nice days with lots of blooming, trees, flowers etc. Its literally the only month I would take out of the12 months vs here in VT. The rest of the months in Mid Atl are too hot or not snowy enough. The bugs are ridiculous here though--best time of summer for me is AUG/SEPT when the fly family goes away and weather is just perfect. Screened in porch FTW in NNE, that along with a bad ass mudroom...ha.

Certainly didnt mind waking up to read this out of ALY: 1) Forecast models have shown a northwestward expansion of snowfall that encompasses a good portion of the forecast area. 2) Forecast confidence is increasing on the fact that a good portion of the forecast area will be impacted by this coastal storm. 3) Confidence is increasing that this will be a long-duration storm with snow coming in as early as Sunday night/Monday morning and persisting to Wednesday morning/afternoon. This storm system has overachiever potential given recent model trends and some of the items mentioned above.

-9.1F here. Saw a couple -15F lower down the hill from me.

I know--I'm kidding. Your a little more polarizing than Bob--ha. I lurked in your guys forum for years in the 2010-2014 range when I lived in southern PA just because it was much more active than the Philly one and a had a lot of knowledgeable posters--and my climo was similar to those NW burbs. I loved his posts--like you said very level-headed and also easy to understand for the average weenie. Especially his long range stuff--just remember he was able to simplify it enough really anyone could understand without needing a MET degree. There were some other good ones too that don't seem to be around anymore. Also some ones that are still around that I just wasn't fond of their posting style

AMWX emoji record that may stand for a long time...until Phin makes his triumphant return to the mid atl forum...

Might be some extremities exposed if that cutter is right on the day 8 Euro.

Being where you and Phin are are just going to better in any cutter-you can hold off the warmth alot longer than say down here where I am. And right, even with cutters there will usually be some backside upslope to restart things. Like we stated before, that grinch isn't happening again--that was a freak show 50F/49F with winds and rains for like 24 hours. I mentioned this a month or two ago, but we had a strong cutter that dumped 3-4" of rain IMBY and the snowpack just soaked it up. Temps were probably mid-upper 30s.

Cutter on 00Z Euro definitely got worse than 12Z. I'm sure Gene and Brian will rot at 33F, but looks pretty warm overall. GFS and CMC not as bad, plenty of time to slide that thing under us--hopefully. Or at least have CAD hold on longer.

-2.5F windy with SNSH. Heavy, heavy NNE JAN day out there.

Verbatim still a period of 52/48 in EMA for a few hours which is a total pack eater, but still way out in time.

4.7" here.

That may have helped a bit..ha. Hard to break any records without a big dog or two. The little refreshers are great for many reasons, also nice to squeeze in some biggies too though.

3.4" so far. Most snow I've had through 1/26 since I moved here. (71.8") Hopefully we keep on rolling.

Even if you are doing once a day measurements you still should measuring as soon as the snow ends. Even COOP guidelines state that--if it stops at 11am you shouldn't be waiting until 7am the next day to measure snowfall, snow depth yes. I'm not sure if you are trying to say that or not.

Nice burst of SN to SN+ here too. 24F

VIS certainly looks reduced out there on 787: Virga here still.

I really wish the eastern forum archives were around somewhere..I would love to read some of those threads when all you weenies were in the same one. Must have have been some nice melts and battles.

Something is definitely wrong with your smell senses then...ha. They most certainly have a distinct odor--even just one crushed would stink up a small room in my house.

2010 stink bug infestation was outrageous in Mid Atlantic--I had thousands in my attic..and hundreds getting in the main part of my house. My old neighbor had a 200-300 year farmhouse with cracks and crevices eveywhere..they had trash bags full of those suckers. Warm fall sunny days and the side of my house looked like some movie set with an insect invasion. Nasty. Seen a few even here in VT, but just random one or two.

Right, I only had a trace on the ground a week ago. Glad we live here?

Right, not meaning a pattern where 3-4 SWFE storms were gradient in nature below the VT/NH border. Obviously it's not great in the Dendrite/lava/dryslot land. I guess my point is a mid JAN elevation event seems more rare followed by a week of upslope with bare ground everywhere outside of the mountain area's. I guess it's not really pattern as more of a one off event followed by 7 days of orographic snows. Still seems a bit unusual, but maybe I'm off here.

I'm in the other camp from you and PF. If you had that plowed it would look twice as weenie-ish. The crisp snowblower cuts don't look as substantial IMO. Once you get up to 3ft or so I think then it doesn't matter what you do. I'll bun myself for that one..ha

Any long timer NE residents know of such a mid JAN discrepancy between NNE and SNE? I mean normally tree's caked and glades skiing would also mean SNE would have some decent snow cover too. Seems more like a shoulder season vibe right now.

Damn, that's awful. LaGrangewx mentioned about the avalanche warning too a few hours ago.