H2O

This is what i get for half watching football and half checking Amwx

meh, fine. I was wrong. Still NAM at range

Storm thread has reached full maturity. People hugging the NAM when it’s awful

Lol. The LP went due west. This is why the NAM is useless that far out

My bar is set wherever my booze is

They do. And I am fine with that

I’m finally more in the fall colors for probability than spring colors

Lows over Hagerstown will def torch most places

Rooting for ARI against the NYG

Keep talking dirty, squid

Forkyfork on Twitter said that a LP won’t hug or tuck the coast with that much CAD modeled. Is this accurate? Please explain and get the models to shift 50 miles East. That’s what us DC folks need now. East. Go east. Fish storm.

Nah, dude. Throw some IQ down for those who sweat the 850s/925s.

That beltway gradient can go eat a dick

Roses are red, violets are blue DC gets snow if the baro hits 30.62

That is still a hell of a gradient across Fx Co. 4”-12”

It certainly didn’t trend CMC

P much know I'm effed with this storm. Climo, location and trends. I know better than to get hyped. So its chips fall and for the people who i consider good friends I will root for them.

There are certainly more important things in life than white stuff falling but for most of us here that one weather phenomenon can be the one thing that helps in a time of grief. I know so many are suffering and it would be nice if the weather gods could listen once and give something back when this year has taken so much away from us.

To be fair, even with the GFS holding steady since that awful 18z run the trend for DC folks hasn't been great. Simply put we need the GFS type deal where the surface low books a hard right turn allowing the ULL to swing under down by NC instead of over us. If the GFS got some better support from the euro then it would make many feel better. The 0z to 6z shift for the euro helps. Will it keep going for the 12z? YOU better hope so.

I still feel good that at least my bet with Randall looks safe

Good runs def jade some of us that mix more so that makes bad runs like the euro suck. What gets me is that you get a bad euro and it causes everyone who should know better to freak out. Let’s be real. Even the worst euro run still gets the usual places a foot of snow. They have zero reason to fret. While we get rain to wash off all the brining they are all snow. They stay all snow. Even when it lulls on radar they stay snow. They get snow when we have sunshine. They even get the birds to shit snow to add to their totals. They stay so cold that the snow comes from the ground up, goes into the air and falls as more snow. But they complain and worry. While I look at RadarScope and see yellows and my wx station says 35.1° and I see the spot in my yard fill with water.

And thanks again to @MillvilleWx for adding kick ass technical info to balance out the Jimania

Really need to see these side by side from current run to previous to see what the movement is

It’s bad enough to see model runs that have gross ass cut offs for snow. And then when you add on posts that 4 yr olds would look at and say “dude, get a grip,” it make reading threads less fun. euro gave me 1:1 rates, thread gave me 1:4 good/bad post rates

Randy and I got your back. It’s fixed