H2O

Nice thread. Another one of the storms where warning signs showed on one or two model runs a few days out but because the overall trend wasn't a total disaster it was assumed they were outliers. Mesos came along and said there was something to those bad runs. Thats why they exist. To nail down the small stuff because for as good as globals are they can't get specific local dynamics nailed down until the storm forms and gets going. All i know is that the power of warm layers cannot be denied and when they are modeled they will perform. At least IMBY. Blame warming oceans or whatever. Until we get a Krakatoa I will just assume snow will be more and more difficult to get DC east.

I'm sure there will be a 5m layer somewhere above me with +20C temps that will show on models 12 hours before the event

Never trusting models again. So whats it show?

That map can suck my ass. #nevertrustagain

Sorry to hear, 40westWx

My temp has rocketed up since 3pm.

It’s still raining here despite this

Olaf be jelly

If you can flip back later then total storm could get you over 8”

Boooo!

Are you new here? Ji will complain at 80” snow saying he should have had 81”

Someone needs to let me know when my winds will shift from warm ocean to not warm ocean in the next couple hours

Let’s just agree that any temp above 32.0 and rain is the worst

32.9 and you guessed it. Dookie rain

Only 3” more to go and I’ll verify. Lol

the falling kind /snark

Thats because the orange arrow is warm air. When they draw it going over us its too far. We need that arrow to stop near VA Beach for us to get the cute puffy cloud

can't even get any hot pink cloud love

Mom- Hello, A&E Intervention show? Yes, my son spends too much time in the basement looking at HRRR models. Is this cosplay?

the rain is washing my snow away sad trombone sound

C'mon mattie. This storm you didn't even need to question school closings. Small victories.

Thanks for the info. you got friends at Sterling? Hook a brother up?

Can you post that whne they do? Or is it only for that office that gets the real time data?

The CC feature might be great technology but technology also gave me almost a foot of snow a few days ago and the same technology took it away. So I might not "love" technology as much as some of y'all Now let me use my smart phone to order off Amazon and get it tomorrow.