H2O

Son, you live in the wrong area for that

I just want you all to know that no matter what happens today with the models some good happened today. I asked pointed questions to a met and they were coherent, lucid and well thought out. And they were answered. Do I get any cookies as a reward?

nope. this is the last straw. If the Brazilian is too warm then Imout

Wrong thread. But as i was saying, the only tucking I want to have happen from this day forward isn't a low pressure off the coast but me doing the Buffalo Bill dance from silence of the lambs Its rubs the lotion on the skin or it gets the primary into OH again.

Thanks. It now seems that everything has shifted from looks good a couple days ago to this needs to happen so this can happen and if they don't merge at the exactly the right place at the right time and be in a good mood while doing it then the whole storm turns into actual #2. The kind you step in.

question for you and any other fellow red tagger, please. So now that the suppression issue seems to have magically gone poof like it does every time(why some worry is beyond me), whats to keep this POS storm from turning into something we dont want? Which is a screw job. What warning signs should we look for to 1. Keep primary too long and into OH/PA/NY/MI? 2. Cause transfer to happen late and LP forms near the Azores instead of Duck, NC? 3. Delay NS vort where it kicks instead of hugs the coastal? 4. Upper energy goes derp and doesn't pass under?

I might have missed a few posts in the main thread. Skipped a couple pages here and there.

Are cookies code word for something else?

given where I am, you mind if I crash at your place in Leesburg while you are gone? I just want to see snow that lasts a bit longer after hitting the ground

Its cool. Couple days ago the fear was suppressed, when that was never going to happen, but 80% of the area was going to get HECS snow. Now people get their "tucked" storm that they say is needed to get a HECS and pretty sure 40% of the area will now see a changeover. But hey, what do I know?

Lived just inside the beltway here in Va and it was powder here. Where I live now has mixed for PD 2 and 2010. But a couple others during prime climo managed to stay powder and still be warning + events

It’s the same thing every time. When IMBYism takes over. I make no apologies for wanting a lot of snow every storm. But while I root for mine I know others will get theirs and I’m ok with it. I just want in on it most times. I don’t need to be the big dog. But let me eat from the same bowl occasionally. I love for a storm that gives EVERYONE the same to start and then you can have some climo on top to help. It’s when I get 1” of shit and others fret 12” that I wonder just how much you really enjoy weather for all or just yourself and ONLY yourself. When a storm comes then I will root for my friends as much as myself. If it’s a 3” storm for most then I hope some see 5” while I get my 3”. That’s just me tho

This simply isn’t true. 96 and 2016 had zero change over. It is possible to have a wrapped storm and still be cold smoke. Yesterday’s euro was almost ideal for 80% of the area. That would be how both things can be true. Mountains get a lot and the coastal plain as well. What we saw today generally only favored the usual areas. And that was over the mini melt about it being too suppressed. Now it’s a serious risk for primary too far NW into Ohio which crushes thermals. We don’t need more tucked. Then too much of the area floods. It’s a bit much to imply the ONLY way to get the best snow is to say every storm HAS to sit on top of VA Beach when that is fraught with issues elsewhere.

No. Lots of green. For....rain. Hi, Leesburgcentertown!!

I just spent the last hour coloring with my kid. Why? Because she asked me to and I love her and she’s had a rough week. sharpie markers ftw. All different colors

If it doesn’t get me unscheduled leave then it doesn’t count

It doesn’t look anywhere as bad as bukakke Elmo

not really. Yeaterday's track was ideal. Not even saying those snow maps were legit. It was powder for all(well most). Now we get that tucked in too close look and warm layer. So in other words: more suppression is better

See? See what we have to deal with?

I get it but this is what sucks to read as someone who has battled long over the clamors for free wielding posts and stuff clamped down on for ease of reading. Whenever we go to tighten up there is a ton of bellyaching over posts disappearing and so on. So the min we dial it back then its all about how many bad posts there are. Its simply a no win situation. We have promised that come this time tomorrow if a storm is looking likely we would make a new thread and all the bullshit crybaby stuff won't be allowed. Meanwhile I'll just post more gifs to balance it out.

Was that the return of BethesdaBoy, OEM or BobChill?

Love me some 1 post posters making that type of first post

Euro

So the MA snowstorm tracking book is written and follows along like this. Chapter 1: 1 million PATTERN IS GREAT posts, no storm Chapter 2: Models have day 10 storm but everyone is jaded and caveats apply Chapter 3: One model sniffs it out 5 days ahead(usually with an unrealistic run) Chapter 4: Other models slowly catch on and trends are attempted to be made Chapter 5: People freak over fringed and suppression and how snow maps don't repeat the same totals from ONE run Chapter 6: Many of the burned know whats coming but stay quiet or try to temper things because too amped/too wrong a track spells doom for fall line east Chapter 7: models start to shit the bed except for usual areas Chapter 8: models hone in on track and amounts Chapter 9: Same areas get what they always do when they didn't need to fret one damn bit Chapter 10: DC rains when all is said and done because thats what it does We are in chapter 7