This is why I root for a 50-50 first then second. I don’t need a bomb polar cyclone for part 2 nor a primary on PEDs into Lake Erie.
half from front end thump, half from backside love. Too messy when you get more one side or the other
Baro is 30.31 Would really like to see that get to 30.32 before I'll be comfortable. If this helps, I saw a wooly earthworm heading south. If the precipitation is in KY we won't get shafted.
Any elongation of the shaft where it can go deep and bottom out, oh lets say, EZF would be the best. Not talking a narrow needle like shaft but one that has heft and girth. One that leaves me covered in white. And I'll be dripping if that happens.
It's fine I suppose. We look to mix but if its for the greater good of everyone else then that's what has to happen like it does all other storms we mix and others rip fatties. A shift a little more S would be nice to see or some better front end. We know what happens when the CCB sets up over the...wait for it....usual areas. That sinking air dies off and anyone outside the deform is looking at grey skies.
My top end has been 8" If I get 5" that's more than what's I've had TOTAL the last 3 years.
I'm actually ok with that euro run. Mixy line gets a bit too close. Would love an east shift off OC a bit more cause there is a dead zone between the CCB and bay and i've been in it.
We need to get some old man sag to the south just a bit more. But if that actually does happen then let’s just have this one time where the GEM scores a 1.00 verification
I walk the line all the time. It’s a very fine line. I don’t get to go one toke over the line often. But if I got some CMC love this one time I’d know what it’s like to step over that line
Given the trends I’d say you have a better chance of that than me. 8” for me seems to be the unicorn now.
Now if I get 2” WAA because it dries up and miss the “tucked” low then I’ll root for my friends and get on with life.
I’m sure they do fine. They use some old data but also ingest current obs. They aren’t as useless as they used to be. Can’t use that old off run criticism much now