The thing is that for as bad as the GFS was a day or two ago being the last to join the party, it isn't a COMPLETELY trash model and can be looked at without distain closer to an event. That said watch it slam a low into Cleveland for the 18z or show suppression to Naples.
Its acceptable. I'll take. Me happy. Been long time. But its the ICON. I'll feel better once the consistent, steady as she goes, solid as a rock GFS comes out and supports a colder solution.
No one was worried about suppression yesterday. Two days ago, yes. But all day yesterday it was C Va jack with only the gfs south and it was still a good storm
Once the cut off gets more data and the other pieces into place it will be interesting if there are adjustments as we get closer.
Getting a good front end thump will help offset the flip
I fucking don't. Sorry. Again I hope your area gets good snow. I hope we all do. But if shit has to get amped just so you can get 24" while I get 4 and slop then it will not be as fun for a lot of people
I've been saying this for 2 days. Suppression was least likely and too amped/north is the risk. A phase is really not gonna be good for a significant part of the area. Warm layers will mess things up and totals will be cut way back