I said this yesterday before this thread was started. If the euro phase does happen then suppression is gone and it will be more adjusting north over time. That opens the door to warm noses punching in. The mix line already shifted north bigly. So now the places that looked solidly all snow for the duration will get pingers which always gets up to DC. North crew is greedy and will be happy while DC south sleet. Warm layers always go in more than modeled.
The GFS is an important weather model. It isn’t always totally wrong. It isn’t always right. It shows one of many possibilities that have to be considered. If its wheelhouse is closer to 4 days then tomorrow it can cave or drag others towards it. Or the models meet in. The middle and gives a decent snow
Silver Diner. And it’s dark out so had to come inside because of my cataracts. Just asked the kids to program the VCR so I can watch the college game in the morning
I can barely remember my pin for my ATM card. When you get old and feeble the memories of past storms all bleed together. The snows from 1899 and 2016 are one in the same to me
Cliff jumping will halt with this post. The GFS(both types) having low scores or none just means they have to be weighted less. If the 500lvl changes are that big as was mentioned then trusting the GFS right now isn’t smart
I think suppression is least likely. CMC showed how just a little more amped storm will slam those mids over top and there is more mix. It's like roles reversed when back in the day the euro would hold things back and GFS went ham. Now the gfs is laggy with pieces. Topsy turvy world.
But there is a storm. Next 5 days will be hell as everyone loses their shit run to run when jack zones shift. I'll just aim for 4" and be happy with whatever.