BombsAway1288

7 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m not going to lie, he has pretty much nailed every call this winter, especially every “snow” event reducing intensity by 50% or more in the final 36 hours.

This is honestly the worst winter of my adult life, about to turn 31 next week. The combination of cold and lack of snow has been miserable.

This has to be recency bias. How have the last 2 winters not been worse than this one?

38 minutes ago, kdxken said:

My comment was directed more towards the bruins being in the playoffs. Rebuild time.

Yeah Bruins are probably not making the playoffs. If they sneak in it’ll be an early exit 

Logan hasn’t had a daily low temp above freezing since 1/2/25.
 

Very consistent cold these first 2 months of the year. That changes this week. Back is certainly broken 

The last time KBOS had 3 below normal months for temps during winter before this year was 2013-2014.

I think folks are being a bit harsh on the grading but to each his own I guess 

2 hours ago, Briz600 said:

Rough stretch continues for SNE

This hasn’t been a rough stretch at all. Sure, our fantasy big ones haven’t panned out but I’ve had more snowcover days on the coast this season than the last 3-4 years combined. Piles are huge right now, looks we’ve had a 12”+ storm. Pretty consistent cold too.
 

A rough stretch would be the last 2 winters. This one has not been that despite all the medium range fails.  

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Shut your negative pie hole. This fella says there's still a chance. 

What a clown. I think the “historic blizzard” aspect is off the table for the DC-BOS crowd

28 and still all snow in Chelsea. Eyeballing at least 5”. This would have been 1” of slop here the last few years, nice storm. Expect the changeover soon. Night

31 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What was your forecast? Pretty wild to mock someone who puts a lot of time and effort into his forecast when you don’t even have the balls to put a forecast out there. Keyboard warrior at its finest. 

Yeah that was kinda low. No need to rub it in his face. It’s not like he went against the consensus and forecasted way too high, ridiculous numbers. Almost all other forecasts were similar and wrong. 

Probably stating the obvious but we’re really going to need next weekends storm to slow down when it’s south of us, if it even ends up as a coastal at all.

There will be a relatively low ceiling if it just flys by like every other event has the last 3+ years

2 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

After sliding lower, my Wunderground numbers have gone back up to six for Wednesday, Thursday and 12 for the weekend

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I’m thinking they weigh the GFS OP heavily. 

I don’t think I’ve ever seen a forecast of 11” a week out on wunderground. That said, I’m pretty sure it is in fact a rip and read generated from the GFS op.
 

Let’s all hope for some good breaks instead of the usual bad breaks that have happened so much recently, as we draw closer 

Just under 6” here in Chelsea. Same we couldn’t verify a WSW but happy we got what we got compared to areas south of here. 
 

Looks like Logan final will be 5.5”

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

GFS QPF was bong worthy down there. This was your 00z 12hr QPF with the event already underway and then actual totals. 

It actually had the right idea with the band and heavier amounts on the south coast of CT and LI but was way too wet everywhere else in SNE especially Mass

Coming down good again. Over 2”. Not sure we make 6, might just not be enough time, it’s flying. 

3 hours ago, GaWx said:

Update on cousin’s BOS to ATL JetBlue tomorrow 7AM flight: canceled;

-she’s now flying JetBlue out of BOS ~11:20 AM and gets to JFK ~12:40PM; then changes planes and would leave JFK ~2:35PM for ATL

 So, as long as delay in leaving BOS 11:20AM not more than, say, an hour, she’d make the JFK 2:35PM flight. She may not have checked bags. If not, maybe she’d have more than hour to spare. I assume she’d have better chance to make JFK to ATL flight if no checked bags.

 No telling if JFK will have delays leaving 2:35PM Sun.

 If she misses JFK flight, she’ll just forget going to ATL and stay in NYC, where her other home is.

 Opinions about this plan?

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Larry, her best bet imho is taking the train to NYC today and making the jfk flight tomorrow.  It’s more work but that is a better bet to make it to ATL tomorrow.

This is probably the best way. Those BOS-NYC “shuttle” flights are often delayed on perfect weather days. I would not expect that flight to take off at 1130 tomorrow due to all the backlog of everything. GL!

38 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The HRRR qpf output looks much more like CMC/Euro AI. 
 

Interesting battle. 

I’m not following here. All I’ve read for days is how slam dunk and easy the forecast was for this. Straight forward. Now some models have backed off there’s a battle setting up between them?

5 minutes ago, WinterSnow said:

Nope, don't like that. But I'm wondering why the NWS has not issued a warning for Hartford, Tolland and Windham counties but did for the other CT counties. Although it must be unrelated to this since eastern MA also isn't warned last I checked.

Because those warnings for southern CT were issued by Upton which is a different weather office from Norton. The counties still under a watch will upgrade to warnings overnight save for the cape and islands most likely

16 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

I thought this storm had ZERO chance of precipitation-type issues, and Now the NWS has the Dreaded Mega Graduate from 1” - 8”-12” go only 25 Miles Right across my Azz.  

 

This is going to be another disaster where I better go to NH vs. stay here.  

If you’re so worried and worked up about the possibility of mixing then SNH is where you want to be. Zero mixing there 

11 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Is this considered a “large event” for Logan? I assume there aren’t too many of these in an average winter.

 I just read this from BOS:

ALL GOOD SIGNALS FOR EFFICIENT SNOW   
MAKING WHICH WILL LEAD TO A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW RATES   
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING (~10PM-3AM). THIS   
LEAVE A 4-5 HOUR PERIOD FOR BETTER SNOW RATES TO ACCUMULATE SNOW   
QUICKLY.   
  
HOWEVER, THIS IS NOT A "SLAM DUNK" WARNING CRITERIA EVENT. THERE ARE   
SOME LIMITING FACTORS HERE. AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST INTO   
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, IT BRINGS A DRY SLOT.
 
 If heavy snow rates end at 3AM, perhaps that will allow enough time to clear a lot out 3-7AM and at least prevent cancelation?

Logan will have zero issues clearing the runways, but inevitably it’s up to the carrier as @CoastalWx said 

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It is hard to figure out because it is up to the carrier. They delay or cancel flights based upon a variety of things. In this situation, many times the flight might be delayed, but the reality is to prepare for it to be canceled too. 
 

Logan is one of the top airports for snow removal if not the top airport. I never worry unless it’s a large event. 

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it usually takes a real big dog to close Logan. I’ve seen them stay open during some pretty decent storms. That said, there will be plenty of delays and some cancellations sprinkled in. 

Agreed. The days of Logan closing for a big storm are past us at this point. As you said, the snow removal technology and funding has really gotten better at Logan in the last decade.

Can’t remember the last time they actually fully shutdown due to a snowstorm, Jan 05’ maybe? or one of the storms in 2015 just cause they had so much on the ground already. Whenever it was, it will most likely not happen again 

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

I was asked if a relative’s JetBlue flight leaving Logan ~7AM Sunday morning (to ATL) will likely be canceled. Anyone have a feel for this? Next JetBlue flight to ATL not til 4PM (too late). Thanks in advance.

When it comes to aircraft ops the last 5-10 years, the trend has been to outright cancel most domestics during a sizeable storm (6”+).
 

JetBlues a little different here considering BOS is one of their hubs so they should have plenty of aircraft around but ATL is a popular destination that Delta hammers from BOS so JB is less likely to make that priority flight. Combine that with possible crew issues getting to Logan and my guess is it’s canceled 

Can’t remember when I’ve had 18” over multiple events on the wunderground forecast.  Will hopefully enjoy the pack over the next 2 weeks 

This the first time in years at the coast I can remember roads actually getting snowcovered on reach around snows. Very surprised here

19 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

C'mon guy. You know it's way to early to make this call now ( although it feels hopeless with the track record of the last 3 Winters ). All it takes is one Storm to blow up into a Monster to turn this entire forum around ( but if things are still this way by mid March, I'll be more inclined to agree with your statement by then ). 

I think it’s the precision that we’ve just missed that has people frustrated. We finally get the consistent cold but too much suppression. We finally have a decent pacific but still find a way to be in a fast flow so all potential is limited. It’s hard to expect anything good when it’s been so bad. 
 

At least this winter the very little bit of snow that’s fallen has had some staying power. Most snow cover days I can remember since at least 2018 winter but at this point I’m ready to move on to spring training 

Any chance the NWS issues a Blizzard Warning for FL? They’re one of the few states that’s never had one. Louisiana got their first one earlier today 

1 hour ago, ROOSTA said:

To dream... I'll be only a 30-minute ride N. to seeing winter precipitation. Could be in another universe.
SO FRIGGIN CLOSE.    

I would make that drive if I were you. Probably won’t see that kind of precipitation again in our lifetimes