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Fozz

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Everything posted by Fozz

  1. For most of us it isn’t about being “in the jack”. It is about wanting a storm that offers more than just 2-4”. Especially when snow events are few and far between.
  2. Most of us aren’t psuhoffman… we don’t live on a little mountain where we get random 2-4” squalls that nobody else gets.
  3. We’ve gotta see if it shows on the 3K NAM because that is more believable.
  4. 3-5 has been the ceiling for basically every event here since 2018. So why not?
  5. That’s not my point though. My point is that if they aren’t including the northern counties then they aren’t expecting as much there. But the map isn’t consistent with that.
  6. Their WSW begs to differ though. If this really was their forecast then they’d include the northern counties in the watch.
  7. I have a feeling this will verify almost perfectly. Yet another disappointing shaft on the way for the Baltimore crowd.
  8. So where is that “it’s supposed to snow” line? Somewhere near Fredericksburg?
  9. This is absolute perfection and it would be the biggest storm in almost a decade for many… if only it verifies that way and we assume that all accumulates properly.
  10. I was ready to give up on this storm. And then I saw the Euro. Let’s pull this north!
  11. Where I live, we had 8.5” in March 2018. That may have been the last time here. I was out during January 6 this year but that may have been around 5-6”. How much did you end up with?
  12. You’re moving to Hunt Valley? We’ll be next door neighbors.
  13. I’d say for the majority of us this is exactly where we’d want it by now. Gives most of us a solid 5-10” but also plenty of room for north shifts.
  14. Time for that southeast ridge to flex a little harder!
  15. Coming from someone who lived there a couple years ago, the winters are nice but living there is not all it’s cracked up to be.
  16. Especially 80% chance this far out. Not even “chance of snow” or “snow likely” on Tuesday. Just “Snow”.
  17. Beautiful. I am starting to get optimistic. Is it too much for warning criteria to be my bar?
  18. Exactly what I was about to say. Knowing our climo and knowing that the mid January 2024/2025 cold ain’t happening most of the time, I’d go with the big dog. Makes it a lot more memorable.
  19. This iPhone forecast for tomorrow is lolz. Seems like they take their snowfall forecasts straight from the GFS clown maps that count all frozen and mixed precip at 10:1 ratio snow, then they come up with these numbers.
  20. Fredericksburg gets a double whammy. Two back to back warning storms.
  21. I’m ok with this latest GFS. With the southeast ridge in place, we can easily afford for this to be south of us at this range.
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