Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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I was looking at the winds for coastal MA, and if Cape Cod remains all snow then it will be a brutal blizzard there. 12-18” with sustained winds 45 mph and gusts to hurricane force. In any case if this storm is even half decent for this region then the GFS is owed some massive kudos.
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I think they will. They can’t downplay this anymore.
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If the Cape manages to remain snow, it’s going to be a brutal blizzard there. I imagine those spots there are currently in a watch are going straight to Blizzard warnings.
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GFS is a Worcester bullseye 24”+… Unbelievable.
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I was ready to write it off as another OTS disappointment… even I’m not mentally ready for what might be coming. The NAM is probably overdone but it’s an incredible track and evolution.
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So is this a blizzard?
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Snow is accumulating on the roads and elsewhere now, down to 32°F.
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I can’t stand these TWC names and I’m so glad that NWS still refuses to acknowledge them. They are a cheesy marketing gimmick and always were. Thankfully I don’t think any TWC name after 2015 really caught on with the public like “Nemo” and “Juno” did.
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Snow is coming down hard, but not sticking since it’s above freezing. It’s probably accumulating at the airport and in the hills.
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The UKMET was on the front lines of showing the snowcrete storm as a full fledged HECS for everyone. So yes I’d take it with a grain of salt especially when it’s alone.
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I'm not so thrilled about this one. I'm expecting mostly freezing rain, with all the good snow well to my north. My guess is 1-2" of slop then some zr. Hope I'm wrong.
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LOL GFS does the HECS thing again.
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I calculated my snowfall average where I grew up (near Brooklandville/Mays Chapel) from 2000 to 2019 and it came out to be around 27-28”. Of course it’s gone downhill since and I haven’t usually measured or even always lived in the area (life somehow keeps pulling me north), but I feel lucky enough that I had lots of good seasons to enjoy in my youth. -
2004-05
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This will go down as a decent winter, but one that had so much more potential. So many wasted opportunities.
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This decade has really hurt everyone’s averages. It’s been lousy across the board, but even moreso for northern areas that aren’t Parr’s Ridge.
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PS - I didn't realize 1959-60 and 1992-93 had such awful starts. Because they had excellent finishes.
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Hey this is some great info and I wanted to acknowledge the effort you did to put this together. I just came here to reformat the tables you made into code format so that they're easier to read. But great work.
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964 near the benchmark on the GFS. Less than a week out. We need the Euro on board.
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Rules can change especially when people push for change.
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I don’t need it to be 5 degrees every morning but I’m certainly not ready for spring. Guys, this is New England. Let’s get another good storm.
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I just realized two of those stretches were from 1960-61. That had to have been a legendary winter. I was at BWI and it looked patchy even though my family’s area still has very solid coverage. So I think 12z tomorrow will report a trace. But it was a very memorable run.
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Yeah the last two winters weren’t great but they weren’t terrible either. They had a solid stretch of deep winter even if it didn’t last as long as we’d like. 2020 and 2023 were awful, similar to 2002 and 2012.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Fozz replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Climate directly relates to weather and I think we should be allowed to talk about it here. Especially what it means for the weather we can expect going forward. -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Fozz replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Raleigh averages 4.5”. BWI averages 17”. Any southern sliders that hit Raleigh are few and far between. And they know that.
