Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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How the hell did this unravel so fast? It's been rug pull after rug pull after rug pull...
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What can I say, the writing is on the wall and some are in denial. I'd be a very happy man if I were in southern MD.
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Yeah we were so in the thick of it that we could afford that south shift. But I don’t want it to become a trend.
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We’ve been very lucky and surprisingly had a lot of HECS from 1996 to 2016. 6-7 IMBY in just 20 years. That is definitely not the norm here historically.
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2014 (for many of us, probably not all)
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You can’t seriously “meh” a 13” storm… come on now if it was showing 4-6” then I can understand but this is still a rock solid MECS for all of us.
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I can confirm that those epic orange returns are simply just sleet. Snow was fun while it lasted, onto Wednesday!
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Nice surprise this morning, snow is actually coming down at a decent rate with a dusting on colder surfaces
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Here too!
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BOOM… from a near miss to a full fledged MECS let’s gooooooo ETA: actually a HECS with Kuchera ratios
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That 0z Euro is absolute perfection. Tucked in 986 low as the storm departs. HECS for most of us. Nothing less than breathtaking. But I’ll be more than happy with the 6z version.
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HECS is 18”+
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Yeah. And he is obviously trolling us. Most of us north of 70 would be thrilled with half of what that run is showing. I recall PSU saying that since this is a Nina, even with that setup it will take lots of luck to get 12”+ and 6-12 would still be a big success.
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If the Potomac River somehow froze then would that help DCA get a few more inches?
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Yeah no kidding… many of us north of 70 hardly remember what a 6”+ storm (let alone double digits) even looks like or feels like to experience, or what it’s like to get many straight hours of +SN (ski trips notwithstanding) I’m still a little cautious since it’s 5 days out and the GFS is a little doubtful, but seeing the upper level setup, plus PSU and possibly Millville going all in, makes me think this could be the big one we’ve all been waiting for years to see.
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Just saw the Euro… this really is looking legit now.
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It is so bright and sunny today, and here we are looking at a possible low end KU?
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Remember 2014-15 before the V-day squall? Probably the most infuriating stretch ever.
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A winter with weeks of January snowpack and multiple light to moderate events (and major storms if you’re in southern MD) is sure as hell much better than some other recent seasons.
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Getting a 12”+ storm is always going to be a tall order that requires a lot of luck, unless we’re in a west based moderate (or even strong) Nino with the perfect -NAO.
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I mean this fits with the post-2018 mid Atlantic storm tracks so why not?
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It happened in 1996, 2000, and 2011 so we’re kinda due for a Nina MECS like the 12z GFS had
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I’m guessing he’s referring to that little piece of energy on the H5 vort map that traverses the southern plains. That wasn’t really there on the 12z run.
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Yikes…. that is not only stupid but very reckless. Literally the easiest HECS to ever forecast. Guys like him give his profession a bad name.
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What did he forecast for that blizzard?
