Fozz

This has to be one of the earliest ends to winter that I can remember.

Obviously I’d much rather see a 8-12” storm but this is as good as it gets if snow isn’t in the picture. So much better than 25 degrees and wasted cold.

March 8 can be pretty cold if -5 anomalies are timed with a storm. Now if this were April 8, then yeah we’d be finished.

You might be the only person alive who still has a piece of winter 2002-03 in your possession. Hold on to it as long as you can.

I wouldn’t write off late March completely (depending on location) if we somehow end up with a great setup, but by then it will be a race against time and every week will count. In the past 12 years I’ve seen a total of at least 3 solid accumulating snow events after March 20th, with one of them being a low end MECS.

The 6z GFS at 300 hours has a very amped storm that buries the far N/W crowd but screws everyone else with driving 33 degree rain. Way too far out to have any emotion about it but I’m glad to see the signal.

I really think you’ll make a much bigger difference elsewhere. You are very intelligent, thoughtful, and you know what you’re talking about, so I think the best way to take sides and stand up for what you believe in is in the real world. Not on a weather board.

Ideally I wish we could talk about political topics without it becoming about parties or politicians or which side is better, and just keep it a thoughtful discussion about the issues, which I think psuhoffman was aiming to do. But I understand why most of the staff wants to avoid even that, especially knowing what it can lead to. And yet if these developments are deeply affecting both our best winter weather poster as well as the owner of this board, then it gets hard to avoid completely. Alas, there is no perfect answer, and I think we can all agree that we really need a solid, area wide snowstorm before the season ends.

You are one of the most valuable contributors here, and most of us greatly appreciate your knowledge and insights. As far as politics, I know many of us are headed for some very hard times, and it’s important to speak out. However, there are a lot of much more effective places to make a difference and have a real impact, than on a weather forum where political talk isn’t allowed. I don’t want you to leave because of this. If you can’t resist politics, I can invite you to discord channel that many of us have joined, where you’re free to speak your mind all you want.

Nor am I. March can deviate from the seasonal trend and more than once it has brought the biggest storm of the season. But it has to be a big one to be worth it for me. Give me 8”+, or give me spring.

It’s like the GFS just heard my wish

Good grief

Is it really too much to ask for one dynamic 8-12” snowstorm north of I-70? I’ll take a repeat of March 2018, it looked and felt like midwinter.

Where is that Nina snow anomaly map? I don’t think I’ve seen it

Oh look, another winter storm for Houston and Pensacola with heavy snow for the same areas getting it Wednesday

Really? Tracking weather won’t be the same without them. So then which meso models will take their place?

Nice jump north. Now let’s do another 50 miles

My point was not that this is the same level as March 2001. Obviously that was a lot more traumatic for those who remember it. My point is that people will remember this month for this failed storm that could have been, that we thought for several days was real.

Yeah if we’re in the game for more storms in March then bring it on. We’ll have plenty more time afterwards for warmth and flowers.

This is exactly why I bring this up as a rugpull that will be remembered. Not because it was a bust at the 11th hour, but because this was such an amazing opportunity with that upper level setup that got completely wasted.

With a few minor changes, 1/6-1/10 could’ve been a slightly lesser version of Feb 6-10 2010, even for the northern tier. Those 10” totals from the first wave and those HECS totals from the second were absolutely in play even north of I-70, and the upper level setup was probably as good as it could get for that to play out. But it’s just bad dumb luck these days.

I missed 1/6 due to that kind of family trip. Oh well. I’m just glad it was 5-6” and not a MECS or more where I live

I would’ve regretted not going up there today, then I saw their wind chills. Eeek

From now on, any mention of Feb 2025 will have that same feeling of dread that comes up when anyone brings up March 2001, December 2010 or March 2013.