Rankin5150
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Everything posted by Rankin5150
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Thanks! I have my fingers crossed for the Belmont and Charlotte area(s). Good luck!
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I think it will still be some significant totals. I would not be surprised to wring out 8-12" total, based on a blend of all the models right now. My excitement meter is rising fo sho!
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You will LOVE IT! I experienced 17" from the February, 2004 Storm and I talk about it to this day. It was so unreal to see it that deep. Brought the rabid weenie out in me. We even had thundersnow during the storm. AWESOME!
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I like where I am at in Belmont, NC
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I cannot wait to see the clown map for the NAM, just to compare to the FV-3
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I see you got my message! This is awesome! Hope it keeps trending!
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With this being so close to the start of the Winter Storm tomorrow, I feel we need to remember to not lose sight of looking at Radar Trends. They can tell a lot. For example, look at the expansiveness of the moisture. WOW! Someone is MOST DEFINITELY GOING TO GET CLOCKED! http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true i KNOW this is Intellicast Radar, but I am posting this for the ease of viewing, to help any newbies, etc.
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What if it is correct? I see all the models trending south, hence, this has to mean the cold air is stronger/dryer? I would think this has to bode well for us snow hounds?
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BINGO!!! This is what I was looking for. I could not put the words together on what I was thinking. Thanks.
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Awesome! Is there still the chance that we get hit with a major front end thump and it keeps the layers colder than progged, which would limit mixing? I wonder what the odds would be? I would say 7 times out of 10 (this may be conservative) the CAD in winter storms has been forecasted too warm by the models. Is that a fair statement?
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I am rooting for the FV3-GFS ALL. THE. WAY! That is too good to be true, albeit, it has been the MOST consistent model the ENTIRE time. Wow posted a comparison earlier which was eye opening. What to think? I cannot get over it. I know NWS and all the other Meteorologists are like "which way to go?"
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Grit, Correct me if I am wrong, but we are on the cusp of a DOOZY of a storm for our areas, if this verifies. I mean...this is a long duration with more snow than mixing. Correct? I also notice the other Models starting to move in the direction of the FV3-GFS. No? Thank you for putting this together. Looks awesome!
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I corresponded with Burger this morning and he told me to pass along to everyone that he would be tied up, but he wished he could. He will check back in ASAP.
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Thank you so much! I really appreciate that. This is what I was THINKING on the mean. This sounds awesome and hoping it is a trend that will stick. For it to show in this timeframe is great. I know from tracking storms from WWB and since the inception of American Weather, I have seen CAD perform colder than progged, I am feeling this in my gut for this system. Thanks again and good luck!
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Do you happen to have a map on the totals? I know they are fantasy, but I want to see these #'s and compare to Wow's post earlier, where he took a compilation of all of the runs. Heck...it is nice to dream a little dream anyways. LOL. Thank you in advance.
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I cannot wait to see the snow maps of this run!!!
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I was wondering what this meant from reading the AFD. Thank you for clarifying. BTW, I think you all do one helluva good job! Thanks for always holding it down!
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It almost seems like the current shift leader said "I am yanking the towel out from under the other shift". Kinda weird how they went from one extreme to another. There is still enough time for changes with the model runs. Hmmm...
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I am curious what they are showing for Belmont, NC at this range (zip: 28012). Thank you
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If my memory serves correctly, I believe the Canadian has a decent score with CAD events AND ULL's?? I can remember more than a couple of times the Canadian verifying on backend snows.
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Does anyone have any maps to post for the latest GFS? TIA
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Here is a zone forecast from GSP for Gaston County. You can see where they show mixing with ZR during a time when the heaviest precip is moving through on Sunday. It will be flipping back and forth, so this would have a huge effect on totals. Also, there will be mixing on and off throughout. I am also hoping the models are not trending with the HP being weaker, like I have seen on the past 2 runs. Plenty of time, but I thought I would throw that out there. I guess beggars cannot be choosers though. This is EARLY December. This is awesome, based on our climo: Saturday Night Cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening, then snow likely after midnight. Heavy snow accumulation possible. Breezy with lows around 30. Chance of snow 70 percent. Sunday Freezing rain. Snow. Additional heavy snow accumulation. Brisk. Near steady temperatures in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Sunday Night Snow. Sleet likely after midnight. Additional moderate snow accumulation. Near steady temperatures in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Monday Sleet likely in the morning. Snow and rain likely. Additional light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Monday Night Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow or rain in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent
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WOW! Thank you sir. That is very informative. I never knew the implications. It is crazy how everything in weather seems to have an equal but opposite reaction. Thanks again!
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February 2004 was a Miller A? I did not know the others were as well. Awesome Info. I will have to read up on these. Thanks man!
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Is this because they are not situated in a CAD favored area? Interesting... Thanks for all you do Grit!
