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kat5hurricane

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Everything posted by kat5hurricane

  1. kat5hurricane
    I think you were really young at the time but the Jan. 1996 Blizzard was mostly a Mid Atlantic storm until literally the day before then made that 50-75 mile north bump that got everybody in the game. Boxing Day looked dead in the water only a few days before then bumped north and so many more.
  2. kat5hurricane
    I said this like 3-4 days ago. Never underestimate the SE Ridge. Most of the great storms of the past, for the coast especially, were suppressed initially and bumped N the few days before. Add in that this is a marginal setup and it was a longshot for anybody near the coast.
  3. kat5hurricane
    Thread the needle, marginal, situations like this rarely pan out for those near the coast. I think anywhere north of the Tappan Zee is the spot to be for this one but... subject to change of course.
  4. kat5hurricane
    Exactly. We've all been through this before and we know how it usually ends. This is in all likelihood an interior snowstorm, these marginal threats usually favor the interior. This isn't exactly a storm cancel based on nothing, it's a pattern recognition and following historical trends. It doesn't mean that a favorable change can't occur however but it's a longshot for anything significant at the coast.
  5. kat5hurricane
    Usually when the models lock on a north trend, it doesn't wobble the other way in a significant manner. Never underestimate the SE Ridge. This is why I always like our chances (at the coast) better when the models are showing a more suppressed look 4-5 days out.
  6. kat5hurricane
    I'd take suppression at this range over inland runner ten times out of ten. Most of our great storms of the past at the coast in particular trending north at the last minute.
  7. kat5hurricane
    If? Death, taxes and Metfan forecasting good patterns. It's all jokes @MJO812 don't take it too seriously.
  8. kat5hurricane
    How about multiple straight years of 2" or less? Just under 20" would be a godsend at this point. Yet another December with light to medium jacket weather around the Holidays, our new norm seemingly. Nice but also unsettling.
  9. kat5hurricane
    Crazy winds here. Like an idiot I left one of the windows open and just heard one of the vertical blinds crashing to the floor as it came off the hinge.
  10. kat5hurricane
    Yep. I'm in Whitestone right near the Throgs Neck Bridge, can see it right outside of my window, and it can be quite a different outcome in marginal situations than even as close as LaGuardia. It's like suburbia compared to a lot of Queens/Brooklyn.
  11. kat5hurricane
    December hasn't been a winter month in terms of snow (it was cold last year) since the 2000s capped off by Boxing Day '11. We've had a lot of late January-March winters since then.
  12. kat5hurricane
    The crazy thing is that you guys are simply spitting facts and @bluewave is arguably the most objective and knowledgeable person on this forum right up there with @donsutherland1 who is another americanwx treasure.
  13. kat5hurricane
    Flurries in Manhattan!!! Feels like a blizzard compared to last winter.
  14. kat5hurricane
    Yeah, '96 was projected to hammer the mid Atlantic and spare us the worst then the night before totals got bumped up higher and higher. Sort of like Boxing Day but more expensive.
  15. kat5hurricane
    It's legit hot in the sun here on the UHI, I'm walking outside in short sleeves for lunch. Feels unnatural for late October but par for the course in our new climate.
  16. kat5hurricane
    '14-'15 was my all time favorite winter so I'm picking up what you're throwing down. Endless snowpack from mid Feb to mid March with weekly 4-8 inch pack refreshers and powdery snow at that and January delivered as well. That winter was almost as rare as last winter at this latitude, you just don't get consistent snowpack winters or virtual shutouts around here.
  17. kat5hurricane
    Think in terms of "It can't be worse than last winter" and you'll feel better because, historically, it's almost impossible to duplicate a winter that bad.
  18. kat5hurricane
    Maybe not 3-5 but it's been pouring here for a while, been ou. in it, so at least locally it's living up to the hype. I don't think your area was ever supposed to get the heavy stuff. Either way, I prefer for this to just go away. I'm getting sick of the rainy weekends.
  19. kat5hurricane
    The models never had a big chunk of the area receiving those amounts. It's always been very localized heavy rain spots.
  20. kat5hurricane
    Got caught out in a downpour here. For the love of the weather gods, let this storm pattern translate to the winter.
  21. kat5hurricane
    For sure, this event is more localized. Just driving around a little earlier, my area of Beechhurst rarely has extreme flooding. Today is the only time I remember outside of Ida and Irene that this happened and I've been here for almost 20 years. Actually, there was one other event that I can't recall right now but it's rare around here.
  22. kat5hurricane
    I'll say again what I said many hours ago.... This heavy rain is relentless, closest thing I've seen to Ida outside of Ida, and now the wind is picking up as well. I don't know what it's like for you guys outside of the immediate NYC metro but this event is delivering big time around here.
  23. kat5hurricane
    Relentless heavy rain here, reminiscent of Ida.
  24. kat5hurricane
    It's an absolute deluge here and this isn't even the main show yet. I can't even get my dog out.
  25. kat5hurricane
    Yeah, it surprised me because I was anticipating late tonight for start time. I had plans to watch the football game in Oceanside tonight but it might just be Ocean by tomorrow.
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