
kat5hurricane
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Everything posted by kat5hurricane
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Yes, as does the great winters of '95-'96 and '10-'11 but I wouldn't call those the norm. Even in the snow drought of the 80s and 90s, we had less than 10 inches only 2 years out of 20 and these are Central Park measurements where the least snow is usually found in the metro area outside of segments of the south shore. Multiple snow events at minimum are common just about every year. That has not been the case the last 2 winters. General point, and I'm sorry for derailing this thread, is that NYC doesn't need a miracle to snow unless you're specifying that statement to 10+ inch events.
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No, the last 2 winters is not the norm. I grew up in the late 80s and 90s and never experienced back to back winters like this. The snow drought we've been through is unprecedented and now we have people (even a meteorologist mind you) saying that it normally takes a miracle to get snow around here. Lets gain some perspective, what we've seen the last 2 years is not the norm. Even in bad years, we usually still get double digits.
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This just isn't true. If getting any snow was ALWAYS a miracle then NYC would average less than 10 inches a year. If you want to talk KUs then I agree but I think it's quite a stretch to say that getting any snow in NYC is a miracle when it's averaged almost 30 inches a year for a century. I would agree that this is a marginal area for snow and it's tough to get all snow events but it's not a snow desert around here generally. The last 2 winters have fooled people into thinking this is the norm just like 2000-2018 did in the opposite direction.
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Raining hard here now. There's going to be some serious black ice issues tomorrow when all these puddles freeze
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Freezing rain. Car is glazed, wet and gross out there.
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Light snow, it's like a Snow Globe out there. I'm about to take the dog out for a walk in about 15 minutes to revel in it.
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I think this could be a bit of an overperformer just based on precedent. I've seen many times with these smaller events when the models beef up a bit at the last minute especially in a widespread event like this and the higher end totals verify. Of course there's a ceiling to this but I wouldn't be surprised to see some 4-5" totals somewhere.
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Meh is a massive upgrade from what we've had the last few years. It's all about perspective.
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Winter '14-'15 lite at least for one week.
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Light snow and winds really whipping it around. It's pretty much white rain but considering these last 2 winters from hell, we take.
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Another intense Great Lakes storm late Friday 1/12 with the brunt of 1" rain/shore gusts ~50 MPH Friday night, followed by widespread west gusts 40- possibly 50 MPH late Sat-Sun 1/13-14/2024. This serves as the OBS thread late Fri onward.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not too far from LaGuardia, in Bayside right now, and the winds are shaking my car. I wouldn't be surprised if there were some 50+ mph gusts mixed in there. Seems windier than the last more hyped system.- 90 replies
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- flooding rains
- damaging wind? squalls?
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Throwing in the towel on a storm 4-5 days from now based on 18z runs and the nam is the peak of Weenieism.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just a conventional run of the mill squall line in the middle of January. Happy 21st Birthday btw- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Pretty run of the mill here, the rain is the bigger story thus far.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Isaias. That storm was the real deal, most damage in my area outside of Sandy. You don't see too many High Wind Warnings with generally conservative services calling for 50-65 mph gusts so this should be taken seriously.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Pictureesque snow falling now. Big flakes, no wind. Not accumulating but pretty to look at.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Lucky you, us North Shore folks usually align pretty closely with the rain/snow line in these marginal situations. Still rain here after the initial burst of snow with wind now picking up.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just headed out to see a couple of inches of slop on my car and still snowing moderately with big fat beautiful snowflakes. I'm surprised tbh.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snowing moderately in Whitestone, only sticking to colder surfaces but nice to see snow falling regardless.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just reading through it now. What a thrill ride that was from the hopelessness of 12/23 to complete weather porn on 12/24. I was just lurking back then but it was exhilarating reliving that thread and interesting that it was the GFS leading the EURO on the trend back west back in the days when Euro truly was King.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
A lot of us were saying that this wasn't a snow event for the coast for days now. It was a Hail Mary attempt essentially with how marginal the setup is.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kat5hurricane replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The nam hasn't come back from lunch in many many years.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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