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kat5hurricane

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Everything posted by kat5hurricane

  1. kat5hurricane
    This is why I was saying 4-8 inches the last couple of days. Mid level warning is almost always underdone by the models in these marginal events at the coast. No complaints from me. It was a fun storm and it's not even officially winter yet.
  2. kat5hurricane
    Heavy wind driven sleet in Whitestone. I want to dig out the car in a little while so I don't have to do it tomorrow but not looking forward to a million sleet pellets smacking up against me.
  3. kat5hurricane
    Back to all snow now that it picked up after sleet mixed in temporarily. Blizzard like conditions now. With the dry slot quickly approaching, it looks like a general 4-8 inches for a lot of us near the city.
  4. kat5hurricane
    That is odd because I'm in one of the colder spots of Queens. There were definitely some pingers mixed in but that could also be due to the intensity of the snow waning somewhat.
  5. kat5hurricane
    Just came back from walking the dog. Sleet is already mixing in and I'm in the northernmost part of Queens right near the Throgs Neck bridge. Measured about 3.5 inches
  6. kat5hurricane
    Flake size increasing. First sign that the mid levels might be starting to warm but man is it dumping.
  7. kat5hurricane
    Heavy snow and strong winds in Queens. One of the wildest rides from Manhattan that I've taken in years.
  8. kat5hurricane
    Really starting to come down in Midtown. Kind of cool looking out from the 59th Street bridge right now at a fog of snow.
  9. kat5hurricane
    Light snow started in Midtown Manhattan
  10. kat5hurricane
    So it will be called New Nam City after the switch?
  11. kat5hurricane
    nevermind
  12. kat5hurricane
    VD 2007 is a prime example. Inches of sleet with temps in the teens.
  13. kat5hurricane
    This needs to be repeated a million times for those who keep talking about surface temperatures and the track of the surface low. The mid levels are what will keep this from being a major snow event around the city, or not if the warm tongue is being overestimated which I doubt based on experience. Sleet almost always seems to advance faster than modelled around these parts.
  14. kat5hurricane
    I think 4-8 is a reasonable call for the NYC area from south to north, been sticking with this call for a few days. The low track is less than ideal and those warm layers almost always overperform in these marginal situations, I expect a lot of sleet. These 12-18 inch forecasts is ridiculously bold IMO.
  15. kat5hurricane
    I don't see any major changes with the 0z suite but what's interesting to me is that dry slot showing up in west central Jersey and a strip of heavier snow bleeding down from the Hudson Valley to the northern part of the city. I don't ever recall seeing a snowmap with that look before so close to an event, on multiple models. Overall, still looks like a 4-8 inch sort of deal in the immediate metro.
  16. kat5hurricane
    Yep, we should be thrilled with that. I think that's the ceiling for us close to the city, 4-8 is probably a more realistic range.
  17. kat5hurricane
    I think it's pretty much a given that the heaviest snow will be well north of the city. At this point, it's about salvaging a 6-10 inch type event with the initial slug of precip..
  18. kat5hurricane
    Something off with that run. It moved off the Delmarva at hour 33 then back west into the Delmarva at 35? Uh... ok then. The 18z runs always seem to be kind of wonky. 0z will be more telling.
  19. kat5hurricane
    Can some people let the run finish instead of saying stuff like "Game Over" before it plays out? The Euro seems fine to me based on first look.
  20. kat5hurricane
    Same here. I had the towel in hand after last night's runs and have officially tossed it now at least for the big snows. It looks like a 3-6 thump is likely for the immediate metro depending on where you're located, probably closer to 6 for you.
  21. kat5hurricane
    Meh, it's not even officially winter yet so I wouldn't call this crushing but, yes, it sucks after tracking this for 5 days and losing sleep in the process waiting for the Euro to make or break our night.
  22. kat5hurricane
    Perhaps enough laughs to take the weenies off the ledge of the bridge.... until the Ukie brings them right back.
  23. kat5hurricane
    There's a joke in there somewhere. @Rjay???
  24. kat5hurricane
    Sick minds think alike. That was my initial thought too haha
  25. kat5hurricane
    What is that based on? I know every storm is different but once the north trend starts on all models within a couple of days of the event, I don't ever recall those trends reversing.
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