kat5hurricane
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Everything posted by kat5hurricane
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It's semantics really but they should have hoisted Blizzard Warnings. This is a full fledged blizzard and it's not going to let up anytime soon.
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This is approaching January 2016 rates, not quite but getting close. Dumping right now.
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Snow getting really heavy here. I don't know why there's so much talk of a little sleet mixing in tonight. Who cares? The bulk of the heaviest stuff will be done by then. This is going to be a historic snowstorm for many whether it's 20 inches or 25-30 inches. Just enjoy it because you don't know when we'll see one like this again.
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Wind driven moderate snow in Whitestone. Haven't quite gotten into the heavy stuff yet.
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Snow really picking up. Starting to get that big storm look
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Daytime CCB Ownage is the best kind of CCB Ownage. That's what we had in January 2016, the last real big snowstorm in my area.
- 1,932 replies
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Light snow just commenced in Whitestone and immediately started sticking everywhere. Nothing like a cold powdery snow to start off a big storm.
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Not a flake yet in Whitestone. Eagerly awaiting
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Agreed, the Nam had a NYC/L.I. jackpot with western NJ and Eastern PA getting much less just last night so it definitely hasn't been consistent. In any event, this is arguing over semantics. The bottom line is that every model shows a major to possibly historic snowstorm for just about all of us. Where the banding sets up with the highest totals/dry slot etc. will come down to nowcast.
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Same here. Took the dog out earlier and you can smell the snow coming. It felt quite a bit colder than last night too. Always a good feeling when you feel the chill before the snow.
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Getting the Rgem on board was big because it was an outlier in the opposite direction of the Nam. Now watch the goofus go to Bermuda or something like that just to screw with us.
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The Nam has been consistent with that death band over all of Long Island.
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the 2' foot amounts are very unlikely but the city could easily see more than 12" depending on where the banding sets up of course. 8-12+ seems perfectly reasonable at this stage. As usual in these setups, it comes down to nowcasting.
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Lock in that GFSv16, lock it in now. That would make 90% of us in this forum more than happy.
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They are always late to the game, always. With that said, nothing is set in stone yet so best to start conservative and adjust accordingly.
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Amazing for NYC and L.I. but is an outlier in regards to shafting western Jersey and Eastern PA but yeah, sign me up for this to say the least.
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I gotta admit, these big north jumps have me a bit concerned for us at the coast. As I said earlier today, I don't feel like these north trends are done and I still don't think they're done. Another 50-75 mile jump north and it could be like the December storm again which was fine but had loads more potential than what transpired at the coast and nearby suburbs.
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Holy Mother of God? which will turn into exclamation points if these runs hold through tomorrow.
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There's that trend north again, seen it so many times in setups like this. Don't want it trending too far north for us coasties but it's just the NAM so...
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12z was a big jump north and definitely a noticeable shift north at 18z. Still a sharp cutoff north of the city but I don't think the north shifts are done yet.
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And remember the Euro is still trending. It was basically a whiff as recently as last night and has been trending north ever since. It could be a windshield wiper effect and trend back south but it seems like most models are making that usual north trend as we get closer to the event.
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News stations almost always go conservative to start then bump up or down closer to the event (or sometimes during the event). I wouldn't pay much attention to them.
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It took a big step back from what it was showing last night (maybe you were being sarcastic?). Really bad trends on the GFS and GEM. Add in the EURO missing south last night and this is trending towards a minor event.
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We're getting all sorts of international love tonight. Get the Euro onboard and get ready for minimal sleep throughout the weekend.