kat5hurricane

Crazy how people can dismiss an entire mid winter month like 10 days before it even starts. There's been plenty of times when long range forecasts didn't pan out and now the next month and a half is done for snow? Just silly

No chance, it's moving too quickly. 2-4 is a safe bet, looks really nice outside regardless.

Heaviest snow of the day here. Finally getting that snow globe look

Snowing hard in Philly, I suppose this is a good sign for us.

Some bigger flakes finally but it's nothing but wet out here so far

Looks like barely anything in Philly, don't think that bodes well for us but we'll see.

Very light, very wet snow here. I know it's going to wet blub eventually but I wonder if some of the projected totals near the city and out east might be a little too high due to losing some accumulations because of warm temps at the onset. I think the lower end of the 3-6 inch forecast is realistic.

The rgem was way more wrong than the other models. It was still holding on to an inland runner just yesterday, the only model showing anything close to that solution. The Canadians took a major L on this one.

As a diehard Lions fan I sadly remember that game all too well but that's in the distant past, time to beat those Commandos tonight.

And with perhaps some more snow opportunities in the next week or two. Kind of like a mini '13-'14 stretch, one of my favorite all time winters.

I lean way towards the euro/ukie combo than the Canadian combo but a blend of them is usually the way to go when there's such a split. It does seem like the cmc is an outlier but I don't think it can be discounted entirely either.

Why does it have to be one model wrong or the other? More than likely the actual solution will fall somewhere in the middle.

The Rgem still being amped is concerning, getting into the range where it's becoming more reliable and I still can't get out of my head that Forky was leaning towards the rain solution.

I'm not saying it's likely but I wouldn't discount it either. We've seen scenarios where last minute shifts from a consensus move to a model that wasn't consensus, it's rare but it's happened before. With that said, a blend of the models is a reasonable forecast which puts us in a decent spot.

I would not discount the RGEM teamed with Forky thinking rain.