I will say the guys and gals at GSP do a great job and know the area very well. No matter what the models are showing, I would lean on them, especially as difficult as this area is to forecast.
I wonder if that is part of the dynamics of that area that @Lookout talked about last year. I can't remember exactly what it is but that area is always warmer.
This next "storm" is going to be a drought buster but when the cold air ain't there, it ain't there. The clock is ticking down fast and it looks like Mother Nature will win again (along with the North East)