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Silas Lang

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Everything posted by Silas Lang

  1. Silas Lang
    Here is the NAM
  2. Silas Lang
    Latest ICON
  3. Silas Lang
    0z RGEM pretty much the same as the 18z, but gives a little bit more to areas favored last run.
  4. Silas Lang
    Looks like the NAM has trended south with it's precipitation. Looks much closer to other guidance now. Should be a huge sigh of relief to those of us in the East. lol
  5. Silas Lang
    Maybe a dumb question, but is low level moisture impacted by ground moisture? I just say this because I remember some time ago reading about it, but forget the exact science behind it.
  6. Silas Lang
    Not sure if this is the same or different mechanism, but this was the one storm I was thinking about. I remember my parents got blasted in Anderson County, backed up against the plateau and I got nada in JC. lol
  7. Silas Lang
    I have seen similar situations pan out when living in Johnson City. Sorry @tnweathernut
  8. Silas Lang
    Yeah, it wasn't that bad at all. That warm air is at the end is also at peak sunlight hours. I imagine as the sun sets the cold ploughs ahead just fine. Most of the east is below freezing regardless. I will take the precip the HRRR is selling and roll the dice with artic air nearby.
  9. Silas Lang
    Man, what model is wbir using? Just caught the "futurecast" from them and the moisture and cold looks beefy. No concerns if you are on the NW or SE fringe according to that model. Of course they didn't show any totals yet. Just found it odd as usually it always seems the news network models are the ones that show the least amount of snow. lol
  10. Silas Lang
    So it pretty much makes it a niña like storm? Trying to remember, but seems like there have been a few the past couple of years where the whole state gets snow while the east gets cold rain with the cold air just hanging out on the edge of the plateau. One storm in particular I remember models busted as we got mostly rain here and no snow.
  11. Silas Lang
    Canadian
  12. Silas Lang
    Yeah looking at the snow output it actually doesn't look too much different. CMC is still a little stronger with more precipitation.
  13. Silas Lang
    GFS
  14. Silas Lang
    GFS Southeast and less precipitation.
  15. Silas Lang
    I do wonder about QPF too. Every system has been underdone here lately. An extra .20 inch of liquid could be a huge deal with this air mass and result in several more inches of snow.
  16. Silas Lang
    Snow map looks almost identical to GFS.
  17. Silas Lang
    Haha no worries! I just wanted to look for myself and noticed that the precipitation seems to be pretty much 10 to 1 or a little better. Wondering if with the cold air if we could squeeze some more out of it.
  18. Silas Lang
    Anyone else see it or am I wish casting here? lol
  19. Silas Lang
    Actually QPF is up a bit. And looking at it versus snowfall, I actually have to wonder if the snow is under modeled. Looks like precipitation to snow on maps is roughly showing up as 10 to 1 ratio, even on the kuchera maps.
  20. Silas Lang
    Pretty big threat if they are posting graphics suggesting two inches in the valley this far out.
  21. Silas Lang
    Yeah, I just want to see something similar and it is starting to look like it is falling in line, despite the QPF. It looks way better than the 12z yesterday.
  22. Silas Lang
    So it looks like the Euro caved for the first part of the storm, but doesn't really get a coastal going like the other models. To me it looks like Euro is catching up to everyone else.
  23. Silas Lang
    I heard it too.
  24. Silas Lang
    I am just starting to come to the realization that this could potentially happen... We are almost with the 3 day mark. Short range models are picking it up now. The storm today will be out of the way tonight and we should start having the energy sampled properly on the West Coast. If we can stay locked in today and tomorrow, we could have something historic.
  25. Silas Lang
    Euro trend:
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