I am a few miles to your south in Fountain City. We are currently at 29. I will keep you posted on my temps.
Should be enough of a barrier if Maryville is currently the rain line. Got to think the think coat of snow helps hold temps.
Goodness. That's awful. Didn't think the rain line would make it that far up.
Temp here is slowly climbing. At 29 now. See if snow cover helps temps stay down and prevent melting.
Yeah. I just stood outside and listened to it fall while staring at the street light. I live near the city, so it just makes everything so quiet. It's incredible. I love how snow just makes everything stop. lol
It looks beefy to me. Which means it looks to encompass more north and south than some of the models indicated. Also considering the fact that I have had snow with zero returns over me is impressive. I was expecting a lot more virga.
Yeah, this storm could prove to be truly historic. A long duration, state wide mauler of a snow storm. Factor in the artic air and the fact that things will be shut down a few days...this one will be remembered.
It's legitimately insane to me that tomorrow afternoon, nearly the whole state is still covered in snow on radar. It has been a long time since we have had a long duration event.
Reading the latest MRX discussion, they seem to think most likely ratio is 12 to 1 to 15 to 1 ratios area wide. They only mention the southern border counties as the only exception.
Seems they are not worried about warm air and also mention wherever the area of .50 to .80 precipitation sets up could get well beyond 6 inches. They seem very bullish overall. Don't see that often!
Yeah I think a lot of bias is playing into the ratio forecasting much like mixing is. I think the depth and strength of the cold isn't really being modeled well by most and that ratios will be higher likely than most models are showing.
So...if this bias is showing in the short range models, does that mean some locations could possibly see something like 50% more snow than modeled? Goodness.