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Silas Lang

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Everything posted by Silas Lang

  1. Silas Lang
    Yeah, the GFS has the same storm, but sends it out to sea. The Euro is a little confusing with low pressure popping up everywhere. Some potential in the time period for sure!
  2. Silas Lang
    Same here. Pretty crazy. Got a fresh coat. I can't see the yellow spots from the dog! lol
  3. Silas Lang
    Man it is really coming down now. A stout NWF for the valley.
  4. Silas Lang
    Some flurries/ light snow. Already got a dusting on top of the ice. 32 now. Looking at thermometer it hovered between 30 to 33 last night. It's a mess.
  5. Silas Lang
    Disappointed to say that I have had a couple of brief showers of freezing rain. It wasn't a downpour, but the drops were heavy and it was a moderate rainfall. I expected drizzle or maybe light rain briefly, but this is more than I anticipated. I have had drizzle in between the moderate showers. I heard what sounded like a brief period of sleet. It's nasty out. I have no idea how to measure ice, but it is a much thicker than a light glaze. Dog slipped going out. It has consistently been 31, but I am sure the ground is much colder. A cool little element from this weather is due to some melting from sun in cold temps and the freezing rain, I have some rather sick looking icicles hanging off the house. I swear one of them is closing in on 3 feet. Gonna have to measure tomorrow. Anyway, stay safe y'all.
  6. Silas Lang
    Is Knox getting dry slotted? I am 100% okay with this. Have a had a little drizzle and melt from sun today so I already have enough ice!
  7. Silas Lang
    It really is worse for it to be light. When I lived in Asheville, new years eve 2017, it sprinkled for maybe 5 or 10 minutes? But the temps has been cold and it instantly made the roads treacherous. I had to walk home five miles because I almost died driving and just decided to park the truck, wasn't worth it. Numerous wrecks, stalled traffic, terrible all around and all over like .01 inch of freezing rain. Worst part was you couldn't even see any ice. But my truck certainly felt it. Needless to say, one of the few new years I spent alone. lol
  8. Silas Lang
    A bit off topic, but it drives me nuts how TYS is "Knoxville." It was the same when I lived in Johnson City and "TRI" was the official record. Honestly that one is worse because Bristol, Kingsport, and JC all can have vastly different conditions. It was even similar when I lived in Asheville and "AVL" was very similar to "TYS" where the airport is well south of the city proper and would get blanked at times the city would get a couple of inches. I mean, how hard is it to have an official record for towns and cities? Drives me nuts. Should be easier than ever with tech too.
  9. Silas Lang
    RGEM trend
  10. Silas Lang
    My fears look like they are coming to fruition. Ice, ice baby. Oddly enough, the RGEM is actually trending the snow line into the central valley with limited ice the past couple of runs. Curious to see if the 12z holds. I want that solution to be correct! lol
  11. Silas Lang
    My thing is, I think we can easily stay below freezing at the surface, but we still get rain. It will just be freezing rain. A little warm air up high is not impacted by the ground. Maybe best case, there is lower level cold that keeps it sleet or something? I don't know. Just worried about the impacts of this rain on 9 inches of snow. I would love snow instead!
  12. Silas Lang
    RGEM is persistent. Also been the best with temps, for me at least. It shows a chilly upper 20s in the early morning hours with rain for the central valley. Temp profiles seem to highlight snowpack fairly well.
  13. Silas Lang
    I think that even if we make it to the mid 30s the ground is so cold and frozen, it could still freeze up in spots. My road is nasty. Compacted snow several inches thick. I think they tried to plow it, but it just made it solid? Anyway, rain will not help that glacier.
  14. Silas Lang
    Honestly even Monday could be another day or at least a delay. That's the first real "warm" day, but it is still supposed to be very cold in the morning. Anyway, secondary roads are awful all over Knox. I live in the city proper and still no plow. Not that it would do much with all the compacted snow and ice.
  15. Silas Lang
    Yeah, I noticed the GFS went a little north. Almost like RGEM and GFS have met in the middle. If I had to guess, I assume places with a thick snowpack will hover just at or below freezing, resulting in freezing rain or snow. The valleys may fair better since they will pool cold air. Wondering if MRX will pull the trigger on an advisory. I think it's needed if for precaution if nothing else. People may falsely believe that their roads are clear and not realize that it's just a sheet of ice. Temps should fall on Friday too.
  16. Silas Lang
    Also, would this event register for an advisory? Friday will have dropping temps even if they manage to get above freezing in the morning. I can imagine it will be a huge mess, even if precip is limited and rain...
  17. Silas Lang
    Speaking of models and temps, I noticed the NAM was about 10 degrees warmer than RGEM for this morning. I think the RGEM is doing better with temps and picking up snowpack. For this reason, I think I trust it more than the NAM for this event. Now, looks like for some areas that will be freezing rain, but still frozen. NAM wants cold rain for all.
  18. Silas Lang
    -5 is what my thermometer shows.
  19. Silas Lang
    0z GFS essentially the same as 18z. A hair north and less precip, but still shows snow.
  20. Silas Lang
    Looks like the RGEM has been trending south with that snow line.
  21. Silas Lang
    Man, a solid hit. Regardless of totals, even a half inch would feel big on top of this snow pack. So it's GFS vs the world? lol
  22. Silas Lang
    Yeah I measured 8 to 9 in places in the yard, though hard to tell since some sleet and rain had compacted it. Also found some deep pockets of 10 to 11. Drifts? Anyway, Pretty cool storm. Ended up with a final half inch last night to recoat what I had cleaned up too.
  23. Silas Lang
    Not really sure what to think of this one. Models showing rain, but with a thick snowpack and frigid air and more coming behind this system, one has to think we have shot a frozen precipitation regardless of what the models spit out. I just don't know how the cold can retreat so easily.
  24. Silas Lang
    Measured 9 inches at the peak of the goose feather flakes. Probably a little more compacted with the sleet and rain from earlier. All snow here again. Tiny flakes, but a lot. Everything has a fresh coat of snow. A great winter day.
  25. Silas Lang
    Yeah, an icy mix here now at 24. Rain, flakes, and sleet.
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