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Silas Lang

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Everything posted by Silas Lang

  1. Silas Lang
    Finally got to see the Euro. System next week looks a little flatter. However, snow over the entire state. Roughly only an inch average with the winner being middle TN and northern plateau with 2 to 3. Much less ice. Last night's run only had snow in the northwest part of the state.
  2. Silas Lang
    Looking at the Euro, it looks like the cold air is pushing a little more south an east, by about 50 to 100 miles compared to the 00z last night. This is regarding the potential overrunning next week.
  3. Silas Lang
    Good lord. What event was that? You hope people understand enough to factor in some climo when looking at snow maps. I don't even know if SC has ever had that much snow in their history. If that was showing on models for the valley, I would give it some serious side eye. 6 to 8 inches is usually the upper end on big events around here, with something like a foot or more being a once in a lifetime storm (like 93). Anyways, I am a sicko and want to reel this one in. Even after having burst pipes from the last cold spell. I can't help myself. Some men just want to watch the world bu...er umm freeze. Let's see what the Euro brings!
  4. Silas Lang
    Agree 100%. I am feeling pretty confident that some overrunning will occur. But it could still go anywhere at this point. Really depends on the cold push. I don't think it will miss us south. More likely north. The cold could get hung up on the plateau like the last time we had one of these events. Middle and West TN scored big while it rained here in the East for days. When was that? 2021?
  5. Silas Lang
    Looks like it is delayed. Still just shows the 6z.
  6. Silas Lang
    Yeah, the Euro last night looked similar to the Canadian and GFS. Pretty good to have all in agreement on that type of setup with as chaotic as the models have been this season. The pattern looks good, just hope we can score something!
  7. Silas Lang
    I didn't even see this second event. Lots of opportunities.
  8. Silas Lang
    Latest GFS looks different, but still winds up with a couple of inches of snow in the east. The Canadian also trying to show something at the end of it's run. Way too far out for specifics, but it is seemingly increasingly likely that there is a storm threat for someone in the southeast next week.
  9. Silas Lang
    Yeah, 2015 was the last real big one I remember. I was in school at the time (student teaching) and I remember I was out for like 3 weeks. lol I forget if it was that year or another previous year, but I remember having some sort of snow/ice mix on the ground for a good chunk of the month of February. It would start to melt, but before it could clear out another storm would come and there were layers of frozen on the ground. Roads were awful for a while. This setup on the GFS with the the ice, sleet, snow, and cold reminded me of some of the those past setups. Hopefully we can score (but maybe without all the ice). February has always been the best month of winter in my mind.
  10. Silas Lang
    This look reminds me a lot of Feb of years past. Storms with every p-type imaginable only to be followed by another. Can't remember the exact years, but somewhere between 2012 to 2015? Anyone remember? I just know there were a couple of Febs where we had some systems showing pretty much what the GFS just showed.
  11. Silas Lang
    Some pics because I am bored and holding a sleeping baby:
  12. Silas Lang
    Yeah, it shows the potential. Even though the some of the other runs haven't shown a storm, the potential is definitely there for something like the GFS is showing. The first of Feb looks like a good window of opportunity.
  13. Silas Lang
    Big GFS run for TN.
  14. Silas Lang
    Looks like some big overrunning potential still showing up on the GFS.
  15. Silas Lang
    Ah, forget about snow days, schools will be getting some flood days instead. Reminds me of February a few years ago, forget which one, but it was rain, rain, rain.
  16. Silas Lang
    The 6z GFS has the storm from the 18z (Jan 29), just a bit further east. It was gone on the 0z run. Another period to watch.
  17. Silas Lang
    Real nice look. Great storm track with the classic low on the gulf coast to atlantic coast track.
  18. Silas Lang
    Hopefully the cold pattern materializes and actually happens. I swear, outside of 5 days, the models show a different solution everytime. Maybe that's a sign they are struggling with an upcoming pattern change?
  19. Silas Lang
    Had a nice snow burst earlier when I was outside in the jacuzzi, living the dream with a nice beverage in hand. Still snowing lightly, but looks to be winding down. Not much, but will probably end this with a solid dusting. Hey, that's pretty great for the central valley in a NWF event. I can't complain as that's an over performer considering the situation. Any reports from Johnson City? That was the best location I have lived in for these types of events. Seems like we could squeeze out an inch, which is feasting for NWF in the valley.
  20. Silas Lang
    It looks like the RGEM is picking up the "streamers" a bit better than the NAM, which shows no real evidence of them on the snow maps. Now, even if the RGEM is correct on some streamers bursting through the valley, where they set up is anyone's guess. Places could get blanked, while others could get a dusting to an inch. These things are very hard to predict. NAM seems convinced this is a typical elevation event.
  21. Silas Lang
    Wow, a tornado warning has been issued for Jefferson County. Stay safe, folks. Pretty intense storms so far.
  22. Silas Lang
    I don't know how much this plays a part, but it seems pretty common to get a storm on MLK day weekend. We had snow on the ground last year at this time.
  23. Silas Lang
    Yup. I just took the dog for a walk at Adair Park and ran into a few back roads that looked the same. We got up to the 47 here yesterday with sun and still have a lot of snow in spots. I guess this is the result of having the ground so cold. Pretty impressive as this snow was pretty light and fluffy. I expected it to melt quickly.
  24. Silas Lang
    Good lord, this is even more concerning. I would have expected at least 50% more that way. Seriously, what's going on?
  25. Silas Lang
    Can someone smarter than me please explain why we have so much snow in the valley? Trying to understand what's at work here.
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