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StoneColdWeatherAustin

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Everything posted by StoneColdWeatherAustin

  1. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    I cannot speak for every cold air mass this season, and would need to look at some past data, but I believe that most of them have been overdone this year.
  2. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    The HIRES NAM shows a really pronounced convective band in the gulf that appears to pull away moisture, however, the snow totals map do not seem to be affected much.
  3. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    I would hope the school system does not try to get into the weeds of meteorology in order to make a decision on release time. Maybe that is what they do, and also the reason they make interesting decisions at times.
  4. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    SREF Plumes currently at .46 Total QPF and 2.48 Total SNO for KGSO at 9z. Was at 2.52 and .42 at 3z.
  5. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Thanks. I know normally the prime placement is in the NE area funneling the air down into CAD region. I am not as familiar with seeing one sitting on the NC/GA border in a Miller A setup.
  6. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Can that HP placement cause any issues with bringing in warm air from the south?
  7. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Started at zero hour and watched this fill in through hour 246. Map was nearly blank at the beginning. Certainly a lot of this is noise, but neat to see almost the entire country covered. That would be one heck of a snow pack! I hear there is good sledding in northern Mexico this time of year...
  8. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    My understanding of this forum is that it is for discussion of mid to long range weather patterns in the Southeastern states. Although, recently it seems a lot of people think it is a forum that should only have activity if it is going to snow.
  9. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Trying to understand here. Does it require the low to turn north up the coast in order to create the negative tilt? I noticed that this one is just shooting straight out to sea.
  10. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Correct me if I am wrong. I am working off memory here, but I recall as a kid, the 80's as a whole being very snowy, up until '89. Once I was in high school, I believe we went through a drought in the early 90's with the exception of my senior year, '93 and stayed in that drought until '96.
  11. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Just checked my station again and it is 37.8/34.3. Dropped fast. May be getting close to snow. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  12. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Gotcha. May be a few degree difference between Winston and Clemmons Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  13. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Is that temp from a weather station or weather app? I am seeing about 41 in Advance and Clemmons. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  14. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    41.2/32.5 Sprinkles in Advance. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  15. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Real classes are no longer needed since star athletes only stay for a year and everyone else just transfers to another school.
  16. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    For our games, they delayed them by two hours and said if another change was needed, they would let us know by 9am tomorrow. I replied and said in that case, why didn't you just wait until 9am tomorrow to see if there needs to be a change ?
  17. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Yes, that area in central NC is exactly where it shows the band sitting for a while. Considering ratios closer to 15-1 and the fact that the model shows it still snowing in these locations at that time, could see a broad 2-4 inches if it works out as modeled.
  18. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    16Z HRRR shows snow breaking out around Winston area at 7pm and shows it still snowing at 5am tomorrow. Most of it looks light to moderate. Depending on how much is lost to virga, it could be a moderate event, according to this model.
  19. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    With the current GFS look, the precipitation outputs look meek. I would expect much more liquid if it plays out like that.
  20. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Yep, Ron White has a nice saying for those folks. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  21. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Every year I see posts from meteorologists irate over these 7 day model snow outputs that people post. Not sure why they waste their breath. There is so much misinformation posted on social media every day, and honestly I am not sure if it makes a difference with snow. People in the south lose their mind over snow whether it is an inch or a foot. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  22. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    I have noticed another trend. If all models are showing nothing, but then all correct to a solution where we all get snow, several people on here get really happy and do not start cursing at the models for being wrong to begin with.
  23. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Correct me if I am wrong, but I thought the latest models were not showing the low making it to the gulf, but instead around northern LA/MS and then jetting East to SC and then North. Wouldn't the fact that it made it to the gulf cause some pretty different scenarios for a lot of locations? Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  24. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    Hang on, I've got to go purchase another coffee maker. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
  25. StoneColdWeatherAustin
    I have lived in the Winston area a long time and cannot remember getting a lot of ZR from a setup like this. Now sleet, yes. If anything, I believe you would stand a better chance at losing it due to the wind. I do remember a handful of storms over the years that started as an initial thump of snow and ending as sleet with just enough freezing drizzle mixed in to setup some epic sledding. Sent from my SM-N960U1 using Tapatalk
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