Nibor
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Everything posted by Nibor
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Where those two pieces of energy at the bottom of the trough complete their phase determines everything. Earlier, we get hit. Later it’s out over the ocean.
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Imagine what he’ll become the day he gets a big one right? *Shudders*
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You’d probably get something similar to the gfs.
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A near miss/scraper has been the most likely outcome for some time now.
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At 500 mb CMC looks similar to the 6z Euro.
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Last night when the AI euro shifted west I thought it was a good sign that the other western guidance wasn't complete bs. Still, it would add confidence if the Euro Op showed something closer to the GFS or the CMC. If I'm not mistaken the AI euro is better past 5 days but they get fairly close in scoring within 5. @donsutherland1 probably has better data on that.
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You can keep saying this all you want it doesn't change the fact that it's a much better skilled model than the GFS and CMC. Unless it corrects west it's a major red flag.
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Drunk Unkle agrees with it. The AI euro shifting west was huge though.
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It's out to sea. Maybe a hair east of 18z.
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This shift on the AI euro gives the other western guidance some legitimacy.
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I said it came west and improved at 500 mb? Sorry I should have said grazer and posted a snow map.
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Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.
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Out to hr 69 the euro has a less amplified ridge but more spacing between the Saturday energy and our storm. Heights rising a bit more because of it. We'll see where it ends up.
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It’s not worth over analyzing but I’d say it’s more likely than Pensacola recording 9 inches of snow last year.
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Less ridge amplification and that lobe over New England being further west resulted in that 12z euro run.
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AI euro is a hair west. Mostly in line with 6z.
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Ridge placement I think is workable if the Saturday energy can get out of the way in time.
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One encouraging sign from the 6z euro the energy on Saturday over New England exited faster. Probably helped lead to the system coming closer to the coast compared to 0z.
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It came west by a good amount. Scraper.
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Every model run so far tonight other than the AI gfs shows the low over the lakes hang back longer and the trough flatter. Makes this a jumbled mess.
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I wouldn't say way east.
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Slow mover
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Everyone here agrees the 12z euro is right. Time to pack it up homie.
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12z Euro OP is that southern option.
