Nibor
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Everything posted by Nibor
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HRRR taking the NAM to task.
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On the CMC ensembles you can see a pretty big spread at hr 36 but then a huge consolidation at hr 42. There's likely 2 lows over a broad area but eventually the western one gets captured and deepens.
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I'm prepping camera gear. Supposed to get the call from work today if they're gonna get me a hotel room tomorrow in Manhattan (I work in live news) If I do I'll try to shoot some scenes. If not I'll still get some stuff here in Jersey City.
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Really nice run on the euro hopefully ratcheting our eastern goal post in a bit.
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Out to hr 30 looks like were going negative tilt a little earlier.
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Looking good
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12z euro hr 9 slightly steeper western ridge. More phasing. Slightly higher heights out ahead.
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Euro just initialized.
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For all its faults with it's depiction of QPF you can clearly see where banding is on the UKMET. If you're in north western areas I think some good banding will set up even if the surface low doesn't "tuck" close to us.
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This is the more conservative one?
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CMC at 500 mb was a step closer to the GFS
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No one should take the nam amounts seriously
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GFS was slightly delayed going negative tilt but it's still mostly in line with the 6z run.
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The surface low does a loop off our coastline. Some of our best storms have that feature.
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He’s on the train like the rest of us.
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Biblical nam run.
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NAM is amped.
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That HRRR run would make the whole subforum happy.
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Wonder if that piece of energy over Tennessee is the fly in the ointment on that run.
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Euro's gonna be east of 18z
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Euro slower with the negative tilt this run.
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Barely. I haven't had time to look at the details but it still looks good to me.
