
weatherlogix
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Everything posted by weatherlogix
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
weatherlogix replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
In woodmere the flakes are getting crispy.- 1,011 replies
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- heavy snow
- sleet
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
weatherlogix replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sleet is not far away my man. The models ALWAYS overdue snow totals on those clown maps. Plus, just look at the Kocin book. THis was always an interior storm on every level of the atmosphere.- 1,011 replies
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- heavy snow
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
weatherlogix replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wanna bet? The upper Bronx doesnt count.- 1,011 replies
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- heavy snow
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
weatherlogix replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
cant stop laughing -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
weatherlogix replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
watch the CC radar.....- 1,011 replies
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The surface low isnt the problem...its the H7 low
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If I lived in Wayne County, PA i could live with it
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This was why I posted the NAM looked horrid
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when the soundings come out ill expand.
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Euro snow maps have to be way off. Most of what falls on the South Shore is sleet and the snow map shows 15"
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It wasn't that bad, so I deleted my post because it was misleading
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are you sure? im too lazy to start looking at Skew-T's and soundings....but I think the GGEM was horrid
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I believe they are the main members of the SREF's
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Storms like that don't usually flip to rain do they?
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based on the individual skew-t's even the south shore of Nassau Cty is REALLY close to all snow.
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once you dry slot it becomes very difficult to saturate the column again.....that run was not great for the city east
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Based on the 12 Z GFS sounding for KJFK it appears to be all snow. The temps in the snow growth region suck, however.
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go back and find my post from last night....
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like i said yesterday....3-5" and then sleet and dry slot - for sure for my area in Nassau Cty.
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This is a 3-5" snow to sleet to dry slot special, at least based on tonight's modeLing NYC-east
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Only consistent model. The Canadian suite it like watching a show stoned and throwing darts. Worthless. This is going to be ugly for a lot of people who don't live at a higher elevation if the GFS is wrong.
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