We were supposed to get a full day of freezing rain with the last storm and instead it was on-and-off and mixed with far more sleet than forecast or modeled..
One other thing that I'd cheer for that the models are showing... getting at least partially dry slotted after snow/sleet moves through. Please keep the big icing away, thanks.
I know it's at range but I actually think the HRRR is showing something that's... likely? Possible at least? Going to be a lot of flipping and weird pockets of cold/warm air at 700. It just feels like that kind of storm where there will be sleet bombs in some areas while others not far away hang onto to much more snow.
Long and short it seems to me that the NAM is trending colder. I think the trajectory of this thing is locked in. All that matters are the 700mb temps.
I'm not the best at reading the maps, but so far to me the NAM seems slightly less amped and a ever so slightly more south than 12z.
CHO still all sleet verbatim, but I don't buy that.
An inch and a half of sleet, a few inches of snow and a trace of ice for CHO says the GFS.
Well at least it will be like 50 a few days later. That's going to be hell to clean up.
It's going to be just disgusting across much of central VA it seems. I guess maybe we'll get a nice freeze over with it? I dunno. Rooting for folks to the north who missed the earlier storms to get plastered.
Absolutely laughing at the 6Z GFS that verbatim gives CHO 9.9" according to Kuchera. No way in the world that happens.
LOL the 10:1 has us at nearly 12". Clearly drunk.
If you all want a taste of winter, come down to CHO. Snow is compacted and now has a small layer of ice on it... still a few inches though.
Roads are very driveable because all ZR and sleet fell during the day.
It’s an icy and snowy wonderland for the first time in years.