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The Ole Bucket

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  1. The Ole Bucket
    Precip and wind picking up. Temp up to 20F. So much for snowing while in the teens. But it's gonna get interesting out there quick!
  2. The Ole Bucket
    It won't last long but snowing at 19F is decidedly unusual for Charlottesville.
  3. The Ole Bucket
    First flakes confirmed in downtown Charlottesville
  4. The Ole Bucket
    Can confirm it is cold. Midwest cold. I love it. But within reason. I will enjoy the upcoming icebox even if we don't have a pretty white landscape to go with it. But what I appreciate about the Mid-Atlantic is that you get these brief spells of deep winter... it doesn't last foreeeevvvverrr like it does in MN or WI.
  5. The Ole Bucket
    TBH the best part of the evolving forecast from Sterling and local mets is to cut down on the ice. Central VA had people that were without power for a week from the last storm. Could do without that.
  6. The Ole Bucket
    17/1 in my neck of Charlottesville. NE wind at 8. Will be very interesting who wins the battle of the short-term models. HRRR gives us 7+. NAM gives us basically nothing. I'll be happy with a split decision. Will also report how it feels later today, headed outside shortly. Might be the coldest its been here, wind chill wise, in several years. Usually when it's in the teens there's no wind at all.
  7. The Ole Bucket
    29/4 at CHO
  8. The Ole Bucket
  9. The Ole Bucket
    I don't doubt that the GFS and Euro are overselling the snow. But there's no way the NAM gets this exactly right. Local mets are saying 4-8" across the Piedmont.. with a quarter inch of ice. That sounds about right.
  10. The Ole Bucket
    lol the NAM gives me half an inch of snow and 8 tenths of ice.
  11. The Ole Bucket
    Am I wrong in thinking that snow totals are overdone in the Piedmont here? I've seen this kind of thing plenty of times in my 11 years in Charlottesville and I have to imagine that a lot more of that liquid is gonna be sleet and FRZ than what the Euro is showing. The Valley and I-81 are gonna be blitzed but I have this feeling that it will be 28-29F at the surface just east of the Blue Ridge but pelting sleet and then pouring freezing rain come midnight...
  12. The Ole Bucket
    You're not quite living up to your name with this stuff!
  13. The Ole Bucket
    That's the spirit! Incidentally, Sterling under the radar has moved I-95 into the medium confidence, medium impact zone. An improvement! And snowfalls through 7pm
  14. The Ole Bucket
    NAM is always warm, hour 80 and 84 never matter... come on where's the confidence?!
  15. The Ole Bucket
    Yeah is that you Lloyd?!
  16. The Ole Bucket
    Going to Charlottesville on purpose is, indeed, a mistake.
  17. The Ole Bucket
    Charlottesville gonna be another battleground between the precip types. Same as it ever was. Will at least be a fun one for the obs thread!
  18. The Ole Bucket
    The major improvement, as others indicate, is that the 95 gets its snow and then the changeover is short and then dry. With the colder air coming in on the backside, a chance to hang on to snow/icepack. I really doubt that 15" comes close to verifying in CHO. Huge Ws for I-81
  19. The Ole Bucket
    Given what happened with all the trees around these parts with the last storm... I could do without ice.
  20. The Ole Bucket
    Such a close call there for a ton of people. Really seems like we won't be sure how it plays out until we get there. And I feel like I've seen this kind of thing many times before here in CHO... where I'm always gonna assume there's going to be more mixing and rain than what the models say.
  21. The Ole Bucket
    *insert M Bison “Yes YES!” gif here*
  22. The Ole Bucket
    Getting some purple on the board. Now we're getting somewhere..
  23. The Ole Bucket
    Lotta tasty possibilities with those...
  24. The Ole Bucket
    Too warm, too west, only 11" of digital snow for CHO, which will be gone by the 18z Next. (Am I doing this right?)
  25. The Ole Bucket
    I’ll lock in those 42” IMBY right now. That’s the bar.
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