J Paul Gordon

Never underestimate the Grinch. lol

Gonna be interesting in my new location. Lower elevation further north and east of Worcester just west of 495 (Bolton exit). If it goes over Boston it seems it will go over to rain or freezing rain for a bit here if not to all rain--maybe dryslot? Even so, if that scenario pans out the ground should be white on Christmas. Goes further west, well Welcome Grinchie lol. Still so early in the game. Could be a big hit, could be another attack of impotent rage for the weenies.

Aside from a lot of folks wanting an epic everything...what would be so bad about having a widespread 4-6 inches a couple days before Christmas?

So the Anti-Grinch Storm finally arrives! Why not call it the Father Christmas Snowblitzen (probably some thundersnow in it) on the heels of a great hit to whiten up the highlands and the north country this weekend. Even the Cape may whiten up by the end of it. Well, whatever comes of it, it doesn't look like a classic Grinch event on the horizon, but it most certainly looks like a fun week ahead as the hysteria increases the closer Santa gets. Will he bring presents to cheer the snow lovers or a muddy glob in the stocking? Only time will tell.

Was surprised that anyone south of Rt 2 and East of the Berkshires ever seriously thought this would pan out to more than an inch (if we are lucky to get that much). Be nice to get a surprise, but I'm not holding my breath. It was nice to have a couple of days of fairly solid cover here. Is there more hope just before Christmas? Anyhow, happy for folks to the north and west. Not going to whine about getting left out. It's even less productive to complain about the weather than it is to mope about politics.

I'm sticking by my winter "forecast", based on a lifetime of experience (3-5 AN Dec, +1 to -1 Jan, 5-8 AN Feb, 1-2 BN March with near normal snowfall due to a few good hits in cold spells). Who knows, the annual grinch storm may end up being a whiteout just to soften the heartache. lol

ORH 78; BOS 54; PVD 48; BDL 56; CLT (Clinton lol) 65 same guess for BED

ORH 78; BOS 54; PVD 48; BDL 56; CLT (Clinton lol) 65 same guess for BED

Seems like the Winter 022-023 page is pretty much defunct. I put this up in mid-November and I'm still feeling pretty good about it verifying overall. Don't ask for precise analogs; it's mostly just perception based on living here all my life and experience with torchy Novembers. Just for fun. Maybe a tad too AN for December but we'll see. Snowfall may not be so bad in between Lakes runners and big warmups. Maybe 2-4 AN December with spells in the mid to upper fifties instead of sixties. Guesses based on previous winters that start with a very warm November. Unscientific but probably more likely to pan out than the Old Farmers Almanac. Nov: 6-8 AN; Dec: 4-6 AN; Jan: 1-3 AN; Feb 5-8 AN; March 0-2 BN. In December we'll have some cold snowy outbreaks but a couple of multi-day spells of very high temps (generally low to mid-60s) will skew the month much above normal. The annual "grinch storm" is likely on the ticket. January will be closer to normal with a couple of inland runners with mild, rainy weather and maybe a coastal that will bring snow to much of the interior (and coast Boston northwards); February will be very mild and dry. Normal to below normal temps in March with significant snowfall throughout the region except for the Cape and islands.

Guesses based on previous winters that start with a very warm November. Unscientific but probably more likely to pan out than the Old Farmers Almanac. Nov: 6-8 AN; Dec: 4-6 AN; Jan: 1-3 AN; Feb 5-8 AN; March 0-2 BN. In December we'll have some cold snowy outbreaks but a couple of multi day spells of very high temps (generally low to mid 60s) will skew the month much above normal. The annual "grinch storm" is likely on the ticket. January will be closer to normal with a couple of inland runners with mild, rainy weather and maybe a coastal that will bring snow to much of the interior (and coast Boston northwards); February will be very mild and dry. Normal to below normal temps in March with significant snowfall throughout the region except for the Cape and islands.

Mild but snowy. Looks like December is going to follow the recent pattern at least here. Temps well above normal with a few isolated breaks. I'm dreaming of a mild, wet, green Christmas! lol.

40s and low 50s fine with me during the day in November; frosty nights too. I've had it with +20 AN along with dews in the 60's. Come Thanksgiving bring on the snow. Cold gets to me now that I've passed 65, but there are clothing solutions for that. I guess I like the transitions, I'd just keep the cold season a bit longer. But opinions about weather mean about as much as polls do for elections.

At last, some positive thinking!

61/44 here on the Clinton/Lancaster/Bolton junction. Nearby stations reading in the mid sixties. Got down to 39 last night and had ice on the windshield Sunday morning even though the temp bottomed out at 37. Foliage seems to be quite a bit ahead of recent years, but this might be due to living outside the city. Don't remember so much color in Worcester before the 20th in past years. Foliage is absolutely beautiful here--brilliant oranges and yellows--in spite of expectations that it would be hurt by the summer drought. Nothing like fall in New England.

Looks like about 0.2 to 0.25 in my area. Also looks like Wells area in Maine is going to do well. The "coastal" last week gave us a full day of light rain there. Anyhow, it sure was nice to see it coming down today. Can't wait for that week of rain we're bound to get in October, after the growing season is done.

Whatever the winter will bring, this has not been a "meh" summer in my region. We've had two (separate) weeks with daytime highs 95 or above with drenching humidity (especially the second wee). That's not "meh".

Live in Clinton MA now. Deal with the MWRA gives the town water in return for putting half of it underwater a hundred years ago so we have no restrictions. Wachusett Reservoir is more full now than it was in April. Heat is ridiculous. 96F today here. Got up to 95 in Wells Maine before we left today. This must be getting near record breaking drought/heat combination.

93/63 Dews coming down like the last 3 days. Temp down from high of 99, which seems a bit too much. Figure it might have peaked at 96 around noon. Local temps mostly in 95 to 97 range. So, I either hit my max's early, or, I'm cooler by 3-4 degrees than the other registers in the area (between 1 and 8 miles from my place).

96/71 Heat Index 103 Probably getting close to my high for the day. It seems I hit my high bewteen 11 and 1 here. Sun is not hitting thermometer. Of course, I'm not as accurate as the local broadcasting stations, but my max's have been pretty much spot on for the others in a five to ten mile range heading north and eastwards. A local heat bubble? Higher locations west of the reservoir seem to be 3 or 4 degrees lower some days. A few to my east and northeast at same elevation as me or lower bake a couple of degrees higher.

In the heat bubble again today. High of 95 matches my area and eastward at least through Maynard. Others ranged from 90-93 a little west and south. Again, max rather early in the day. If it weren't for the other local stations reporting essentially the same temps or a degree or two higher, I'd think I'm getting false readings. Before the heat wave I was a couple of degrees lower for max than many. Go figure. Dews were much lower but coming up a bit now. 61F here now, 66F in Lancaster.

Wow! Mammatocumulus. That must be sped up. Looks like the mothership entering the atmosphere or the cloud that led Israel out of Egypt. Great picture and video.

Lot of clouds there or sea breeze of some kind?

Hit 97 here today. Was a bit suspicious of it getting quite that high but there seems to be a blob of really high maximums in my area (looking at reliable stations in the area) between 95 and 99. A little further out and the max's seem to be in the 93-95 range. Is this a microclimate thing? Just moved here (Clinton/Lancaster/Bolton line) from Worcester in April. Real-feel with dews in the mid to upper 70's was 104 at one point. Another thing I've noticed is that my max's come earlier in the day than they did in Worcester. Still see it when I leave work in town and temp back home is 4 or 5 degrees cooler a lot of days, especially when dews are lower than they are right now. If my thermometer (one of those that record temp outside/inside and keep track of it daily and annually but don't send it to my computer or anyone else) was way off from all the others around I'd just think it was because it isn't weather station acceptable, but the local broadcasting station closest to me were higher than those further out in just about all directions.

???? Don't get the relation to my quote you used in realtion to your comment. Temps in the mid 90s here today and over a pretty wide swath of interior Worcester county. Thats 10-15 degrees above normal (ORH on the low side for avg highs; some places near me in the mid 80s on the higher side) 110 in OKC is about 15-17 AN for that area. If we kiss 100 on Sunday we'll be looking at 15-20 AN here. Basically saying that the RELATIVE absolute highs are.... well..... relative. UK example is much more extreme but its source was much drierr (DPs in the mid 40s to mid 50s in London because of Sahara origin). Also, gotta look at the low baseline average temps in the region to start. For us to have 30F AN (110 here; 123-125 in OK) on the line of the UK event would require something almost unimaginable--a source of dry heat that would allow temps to rise that high. Could happen in OK because of a direct SSW flow from Mexico; here GOM and Atlantic moisture would make it tougher. Of course, anything is possible in a warming world--even a redux of Feb 2015 only 5 degrees colder. Just ain't too likely.

Hit 96 here in Clinton today (95 at the closest home station to me) Dewpoint ranged between 74 and 67).