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Everything posted by bwt3650
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Same thing everywhere...When Mt. Snow has the Grand Summit spinning, you can cut your wait for the Bluebird in half and literally see the the chair following the same line one trail over. Its amazing. People always flock to the newest, shiniest lift and "ohhh it has a bubble"
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Friday night/Saturday has been looking promising for a few runs on the gfs too. Can’t tell (and admittedly don’t know enough) but looks like maybe some lake enhancement, as the steam seems to go all the way through northern ny state.
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January 16 2021 - Inland runner Rain/Snow/Wind
bwt3650 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’m not that familiar with Stratton, but I remember a couple years ago riding on of the lifts on the left side of the mountain in a more beginner area and seeing some ridiculous houses along the trail. They looked like giant single families and had to be million dollar houses. Most had ridiculous fire pits and hot tubs outside too if a remember. -
NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 936 PM EST Saturday...Have replaced Winter Storm Warnings with Winter Weather Advisories with this update as remaining snowfall rates will generally be light away from the higher terrain. We continue to watch as closed mid- upper level low translates newd from central NY across VT. As vertically- stacked system shifts newd, will see a gradual increase in low- level westerly flow, with snowfall becoming more orographic in character after midnight and into Sunday morning. Also noting from the BTV- 4kmWRF that Froude numbers increase above 1 after 08Z. That should signal a tapering off of any remaining accumulating snow around BTV after 08Z, and will see snowfall increasingly confined to the immediate western slopes/summits and some downwind areas of central/nrn VT as we head toward daybreak and beyond on Sunday. The Winter Weather Advisories run through 4PM Sunday, and will see some continued accumulating snow across the Adirondacks and spine of the central/nrn Green Mtns through late afternoon on Sunday. We`ve seen some rain/snow mix at times this evening at PBG/RUT, but should see 1C or so of PBL cooling to result in nearly all snow thru the remainder of the event. In terms of additional snowfall amounts, expecting 1-3" in the immediate Champlain and St. Lawrence Valleys, with generally 2-5" across the Adirondacks, and 3-5" across central/nrn VT. The orographics will help from Mt. Mansfield to Jay Peak with localized totals up to 12" are expected near summit elevations. Road temperatures may fall a degree or two overnight, so untreated roads may become icy for those that need to travel. Almost like one of the btv lurkers heard our discussion a few days ago...it’s not quite a “pf and the picnic tables” but really appreciate the details.
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I could take them or leave them. Great parties in high school with then playing in the background. Nothing more Vermont cliche, tho.
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January 16 2021 - Inland runner Rain/Snow/Wind
bwt3650 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ratios should help both of us. -
January 16 2021 - Inland runner Rain/Snow/Wind
bwt3650 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I bet more -
January 16 2021 - Inland runner Rain/Snow/Wind
bwt3650 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
5 or so of sloppy wet snow at 1850’. Waiting for the upslope machine to turn on. Promising days ahead after this. Should be classic deep winter in the northern greens now for a bit. -
This week looks loaded with bread and butter.
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Feb 27th or so...moisture helped the upslope and we got about 36” near jay
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GFS paints a snowy week even after this storm. Looks like good snow chance nearly every day. Nice mid-winter period likely underway.
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we snow into Monday after some base building...exactly what is needed.
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Like ripping down upper starr early next week warm fuzzy? I think that map would do the trick from sugarbush north.
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True..I guess that sounded kinda dumb. Obviously elevation is always key. I just meant in my limited experience, driving up to my spot, many times it would be pouring at the bottom of 242 and right when you hit that spot, it almost always changed over unless it was a massive grinch cutter type deal. Late in the season, you can watch the leftover plow heaps on the side of the road just explode at about that elevation. Looks like a lot of moisture behind this thing. Slow it down a little and we could clean up.
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Yeah, that looks good Sat night into Sunday morning. What’s the better upslope track; low over northwest Maine like that or out into the Atlantic?
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Razor thin margin on this one, but the nam would actually be pretty good here. Key if some liquid for a while and then pile up the high ratio upslope on top. That’s exactly what gets the glades open.
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I keep hearing 1500 is the magic number for a lot of these marginal events. It was around here last year. I’m sure Jspin and pf would know.
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Yeah, there are zero complaints about those type of days. It’s the best stress relief there is. Ski all day in great conditions and go on a nice long walk with the dog at dusk. Anyone who can should at least day trip it up here this year. It was amazing and that really wasn’t even a powder day. I’m sure they could use the tix sales too. Looking forward to us all cashing in soon.
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I’d say I’m closer to a foot with the 4 from a few days ago, but I’m at about 1850’ so numbers look good.
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Phin, what’s your elevation there? Interesting to see how this plays out for you there. I’m optimistic that I’m going to have enough elevation to get a solid gain and hopefully, kill it on the upslope
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It’s the mid Atlantic conditioning. We live with hearing “a pattern change is coming” and “this one should stay all snow” to wake up to 2.75” of dog crap. I get where he’s coming from. It takes some adjusting to realize being up here, you just let it play out. The averages are the averages and mountain climate will win. I’m at an advantage in Vermont tho, you know with the Vermont chill. Anytime I have some snow anxiety, I throw on a flannel, crank some phish, and go watch the Subaru’s drive by.
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Yeah, it’s similar here. With so little traffic, the natural trails were actually pretty good today. Yesterday, it was really a stretch to have some of them open. They only opened 3 glades but you could find others that were more than skiable today. Def have to plan your turns and keep your eyes open tho. I held off on Stowe only because I think there was more natural here. I’m hoping next week some of upper four runner trails get open. Not worth blowing one of my epic days to lap the mountain triple, but I’m looking forward to getting there soon.
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People starting to mention this weekend up here. As of now, what we may lose to a mix, we might get back in upslope afterwards. Maybe this is the storm that gets jay and Stowe open..we’ll see. The northern greens are due for a strong 10-14 period.
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Lower lift line was open yesterday, but they wound up closing it. It was in bad shape. It was back open today, but still not the best. Kitz was better, and today was great with last nights snow. I think I lapped that to stateside glade about four times. Timbuktu wasn’t open. Not sure why with everything else on stateside open. They prob could have opened most of the glades today, but held back on a lot. They are finishing up blowing ullrs, so I think they just didn’t want to deal with people on that side making their way over. I would guess they move the guns to upper north way to get the tram ready and if this weekend comes through, should be pretty close to 100 percent next week.