bwt3650

Nice timing..you’re going to have the best weekend of the season so far. Hit the face if that’s your thing. There’s about ten days a year it’s really on and forgiving and I bet Saturday is one of them.

I completely get it. Radar is tough because I know for a fact it’s a bad spot. There will be nothing on radar and I’ll check the spotlights before bed and be shocked to see it snowing. Even watching it come in during a storm, the echoes will die out near Richford and it will be be coming down outside. PF pointed this out once and I definitely notice it now. If there’s any moisture nearby at night, you are guaranteed to see flakes once half way up 242. 3k nam seems to be the best at seeing it, but it misses stuff and also can be high on totals. PF can school us all on the meteorology, but the healthy Mansfield dusting is sometimes more like 2-3 here and I think that adds up…but to the original point, I would question,….but believe the 8 too.

Na, I get it. Jay really has everything going for it to put up top numbers, but it’s easy to question it when there’s no real way to verify and they pull these numbers. Knowing what I know about the staff and management from the little time I’ve been up here, I get the impression that they are pretty transparent and not into the number inflating game. Truth is I think 141 is probably a little low for the first week of February. But again, I’m just going by skiing and comparing it and have no real way to tell the difference between 10 of powder and 13. Let’s see what they report by the weekend. I actually thought sugarbush would be the big VT winner with this.

If Mansfield is 111 on the season, then 141 is not ridiculous. I skied both mountains the same day and there is a difference in coverage. They pulled 5 out of their ass last Friday and it was deep in the woods. Skied off after the weekend, but even I was surprised. I really can’t wait to get a full season up there to get some accurate numbers, but you can’t compare it to your spot.

I left last night to head back to Jersey for a week so I missed it but yeah, 8 seems like a bit of a stretch. I checked my webcam at 730 am and it looked like about 2” and that’s at about 1900’. Depends on the L.E. but I thought most was coming tonight. If they are talking the ridge right off the tram at 4000’, maybe. I will say that I was out everyday last week and hit smuggs on Monday and there was a significant difference. The 5 jay reported on Friday when everyone was much lower was right on. At smuggs, doc Dempsey and the woods off upper smugglers were holding on for dear life while Andre’s on tramside was still full coverage. By yesterday, stateside was getting thin, but still better coverage than smuggs and tramside was better. Here is a pic from the same day as smuggs where they were thin (granted pic is from the top of Valhalla at 3500) Even if the 8 was high, I think they legit are 15-18 by the weekend. I’m back next weekend too so hopefully, it holds on.

Just a bunch of fake posters about fake snow.

Snow was good in the woods that weren't skied off yesterday, but a few of the glades were holding on for dear life. There were a couple of panic moments when you go around a blind corner and realize you have to ski in a 12 inch path between exposed roots and rocks...gets the blood pumping for sure. The mountain kind of held on just long enough to get to this storm, which should solidify things for a while. The lack of rain or a thaw has been great to limit things to just skied off conditions, rather than straight up ice. There was definitely a difference between smuggs and jay the last few days, where I think smuggs was really stretching some of those open natural trails. Left last night for a week to beat the storm home so I can guarantee it will be an over-performer and the biggest of the year. Need to fill up those snow making ponds for final touches too.

The view from smuggs…they need this late week storm.

14 degrees..cooking today. Cancel winter.

While I was glad to see SNE get theirs, especially since we were never in it here, snow is not a team sport (credit @PhineasC)

Late week looks like our turn…36 hours of snow as long as we stay on the cold side.

Climo.

That cutter has been improving for days. Steady as she goes up here.

Today was a reminder of why i chose Jay as my home mountain. Everyone is chasing a “bomb cyclone”, aka snowstorm, and Jay quietly says, I’m all good here. The woods are sick right now with untouched lines everywhere. Natural trails are soft and full of snow and you could ski right on to the flyer all day. Really great conditions and a reminder that while I love Stowe, Killington and the like, when the snow is good, Jay has the best glades hands down.

2-3 inches of fluff here overnight and snowing pretty good at the moment. Nice refresh for the morning. NH crew looking to get a decent snow out of the storm. Would be nice to score another 2-3 here tnrw if the west trend holds.

We have no clue if there was a 960 low on the benchmark 1000 years ago…stop.

Another -20 plus morning. I’m new up here, but I don’t remember many at all last year and this has to be 5-10 times this season we’ve been 20 plus below. Anyone @J.Spin have temp anomaly stats for January around here?

Really only looks like weds-Friday at this point. I’m more concerned about the cutter, but lots of time I guess.

Exactly

Yeah, I’m still going to go with that headline is media hype. Enjoy the snow, bro.

Yes, the end of the world is coming…a “bomb cyclone” with “hurricane force winds”…let’s create crazy adjectives to describe it and build hype and stoke fear. It’s a substantial storm, but so was 78, 93, 96, 15 and so on. It will snow, we will plow, and move on…

Otherwise known as a snowstorm in winter.

Ah, yes. And the alert tones with the red scrolling screen like the soviets were attacking…you knew sh!t was getting real!

K-mart was on point yesterday. No lines, Fast groomers and still a decent amount of natural snow. Run of the day surprising was north star off Snowdon. Great natural bumps and not skied off at all. Royal flush was biggest disappointment. Thin is an understatement. Woods were manageable, but not deep. They had superstar lit up like it was the day before the World Cup. Guns every 10 feet and huge whales up top. They were also blowing cascade. One of the few closed trails was lower ovation. I sometimes forget how steep that is until I see a picture of it. Overall, really enjoyable day and conditions.