bwt3650

Man, that GFS run is loaded for NNE. That would get winter started nicely.

It looks like a great start to the season..cold right when you want it for the build outs…what are your thoughts on the fantasy storm post thanksgiving? .

They pushed opening day to weds 11/22. .

You said Nov was a torch…you were wrong. What are you seeing that says Dec is a torch? .

Where does the month stand so far? .

Diarrhea Halloween candy, thanksgiving turkey in shorts and December mows. .

Agreed…but after what happened in Oct and the Oct calls for a Nov furnace by some, a possible BN month and an actual winter feel is a welcome change. .

Nov torch down to 24 hrs on gfs? .

Everyone is on tonight, even down to the Poconos, which probably won’t open until December. .

how long did snowmaking make it last night before wetbulbs shut them down?

yeah, no denying it means nothing. Some years though, it just seems it wants to snow and things break our way, while others, great patterns turn to shit no matter what..like last dec

it means crap scientifically, but this year has a different feeling than last year to me so far. The plus 15 anomalies 15 days away aren't locked in and grow stronger as the days go by. Rain and 50 at 384 was the safest bet there was last year.

it's like you spoke and the GFS listened. That warm up really disappears quickly in the 12z op run. Hope ensembles have the same trend.

Vermont resorts lit up like a Christmas tree this morning with snowmaking. Looks like a nice window through early next week before the heat. .

3k lighting up the central greens with a decent thump before the changeover. Gotta assume most of the clown map is something other than snow, but should look wintery. .

Loving snow and belonging to a weather forum, but always calling for warmth and an end to winter is a defense mechanism so as to never be disappointed. .

All because of frozen water or lack thereof. .

Never a good idea to pick an argument with a weather genius...but here goes: Average temp mean for BOS Jan- 30 Feb-31.8 March-38.3 Years within 1 degree of average or below avg for the month during the last 10 years: Jan-5 Feb-4 Mar-6 So my argument would be that half of that decade period featured average or below average temps and average or above normal snowfall. I don't think you get those numbers with a decade that has only two weeks of winter per year. Maybe snow cover days during the last decade would paint a better picture. It does seem that we used to have longer periods of snow on the ground. I just think that saying we've only had two weeks of winter each year over the past decade is him always leaning warm and negative toward winter.

over the last decade, 6 of the 10 winters at BOS have had normal or above normal snowfall, including the all time record within that time period. I would agree with you about a two week period last year, but your decade long assessment is not accurate. I think you should raise your expectations to at least average this year.

Reality Check- The first 15 will be average, maybe slightly below with some -10 departures in there. The mets who know more than 90 percent of us have been calling for it to get milder mid month Winter is 12 weeks long and we are still 6 weeks before it even starts The average high for BOS is currently 55 A call for 70s on Thanksgiving day has as much a chance of verifying as the 12Z GFS 384 Op showing 30s for highs three days before T-day. The entire month of November was not a torch as some advertised in mid October nor did any of my kids Halloween candy turn to diarrhea

you guys are still probably ahead of last year with a good window mid week i would think...Jay tried Thursday night before a pipe exploded. Starting from scratch Tuesday night when temps hit.

lots of cold shots in there...is that the +PNA? Seems like the Northeast stays chilly while the rest keep going mild.

It's nice watching warm anomalies get beat back by the cold every time they try to establish on the last few gfs runs. May be fake, but it's certainly the opposite of what we saw all of last winter.

It’s officially ski season! .

But then we'd have to worry about sun angle