T. August
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Everything posted by T. August
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My only “complaint” would be that there’s no specific wave it’s keying in on. It’s just a big mess of precip for 4 days.
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CMC ens not bad - more snow after this hour but figured this captured our threat window next week.
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Snowfall is behind precip at least for now. 500 is fastest so far
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I just looked. Not enthused
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Good news - the OP is on the southern edge of its ens. Bad news - quite a few warm misses to the north.
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Gefs is north through 129… there’s still hope lol.
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So far cmc not looking hot. It’s about 12 hours slower and definitely south.
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It’s a general 5-7” through the area with a little more to come. I feel like we should be happy with that lol.
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From what I can tell. There could be a little more at the end but we do get close to losing 850s
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Icon is a hit. Looks like 6”+. Not done yet. edit: like 6-10”
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18z gefs looking healthy. Not quite done running.
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North of Bmore fringed. Sound the @North Balti Zen alarm.
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Lol Kuchera is 18” in DC
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Are we looking at the same thing?? Gfs looks fine
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Still good… 10-16”
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Snow maps are out to 216
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Big hit. Looks like 12-18
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Mitch responsible for The Wire = confirmed
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I got hr 2
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GEFS a step back from 6z for the 12th. Hard to tell but snowfall mean looks cut in half. Probably warmer. Not suppressed like the op. edit: some members are similar to the op. Overall the storm is just weaker.
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I don’t know how to explain it or if there’s an actual reason, but I feel like marginal temps don’t usually end up happening. It’s either colder in reality, or 37° and rain.
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Gfs/gem were ok all things considered. Hopefully the ensembles don’t abandon the idea.
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Kuchera is like 8” in DC. Not bad. North of Baltimore gets screwed hard.
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I like how cold it is too. CAD looks good.
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Looks like it could be decent
