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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. Conway7305
    RIC are there any ensemble members left that show RVA with anything more then 7”
  2. Conway7305
    ugh, this storm was a HUGE tease. Really disappointed. 2 days ago all Models had a lock in for massive snowstorm for VA. I guess 2016 spoiled me with model consistency. With these massive east shifts, not even VA Beach is getting snow from this. Will be a NC/OBX storm if that and OTS DT is gonna catch some sh%^ for his aggressive maps. I’m about out
  3. Conway7305
    It didn’t tick SE from my view. Just less precip shield.
  4. Conway7305
    Yep, He believes it will correct NW . NAM and GFS both better so who knows (CMC and ICON out to lunch. Waiting on the King.
  5. Conway7305
    Yeah hopefully the 48 hour bump will occur. GFS held ground and ticked back west slightly. I’m not worried about the CMC or Icon, they jump 200 miles per run
  6. Conway7305
    DT woofing big time for our area . Hope he is right
  7. Conway7305
    ICON all over the place
  8. Conway7305
    Maybe a NW shift coming with 0z Suite?
  9. Conway7305
    Maybe a NW tend is coming w/ 0z suite.
  10. Conway7305
    Interesting, Hope he is right
  11. Conway7305
    Is there any chance this storm comes back NW or unlikely and keeps ticking SE?
  12. Conway7305
    If this east trend doesn’t stop RVA is in trouble. Like to see the ensemble members for the euro. What the heck is kicking it east?
  13. Conway7305
    18z Euro just started running but I can’t see it. Have to be a plus member. Hope it’s good
  14. Conway7305
    This could easily trend back
  15. Conway7305
    SERF OK
  16. Conway7305
    No more SE Trend. Need it to come back just a little.
  17. Conway7305
    I’m hugging the Euro until 48 hours then look at the NAM and HRRR. My guess is 7 inches for RVA.
  18. Conway7305
    Thanks for the insight Bob! Let’s hope we all get another 0z Euro Run soon.
  19. Conway7305
    I don’t like the NAM but it also is super early and it will change. 84 hours is max run time and snow/sleet is just getting . 48 hours is when I’ll start to worry.
  20. Conway7305
    Nam has mixing issues for us, the familiar theme…lol
  21. Conway7305
    6z ICON better and a tick W, GFS slightly better, W tick. NAM looked great 6z Euro still looked good but ticked E along with EPS (more members offshore this run Im sure everything will waiver.
  22. Conway7305
    I had to laugh at this in the main NOVA thread. They are happy for the Euro as well but jaded from tonight’s runs. hahaha —— A goose is going to fart midflight over Kansas later tonight and it will cause the gfs to show a radically different outcome in its next run.
  23. Conway7305
    Full 24 hours of basically heavy cold snow, unlike these last few storms
  24. Conway7305
    Great now I’m awake again after that fabulous HECS run and can’t sleep, go figure. Will be curious to see EPS
  25. Conway7305
    I really hope the Euro is correct. Last storm the NAM and Euro did well on accumulations. GFS was stubborn but proved to be wrong at least for RIC We got nowhere near 6-8 inches.
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