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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. Conway7305
    NAM has been trending colder each run so let’s hope that duration above freezing shrinks.
  2. Conway7305
    This looks like a nice front end Thump coming in on short range mesoscale model. Curious what happens after that.
  3. Conway7305
    Good Trends
  4. Conway7305
    Lots of those members have 13+”
  5. Conway7305
    Nice! Most all members show a 7+
  6. Conway7305
    RIC can you post the 18z EPS ensemble member frames. Thanks
  7. Conway7305
    Yeah it kinda worked out, whole family was sick as a dog over Christmas so we just delayed holiday travels to This wknd. Now if heavy snow band drops further south we may get screwed but for now it’s safe.
  8. Conway7305
    Im actually up visiting my parents house till Tuesday in Fredericksburg so I think we’re good here.
  9. Conway7305
    18z still 7-8 inches in RVA, 11” on northside Looks like it ticked north slightly from 12z. There will be fluctuations like this every run but hopefully general track is ironed out.
  10. Conway7305
    I’m still pumped! Everything shifted south. GFS even inched south. i’m more worried about a dry slot screwing everything up. I think we will get snow on front and back end and it probably will mix w/ sleet and freezing rain in middle. Waiting on someone to post the 18z euro when it is available .
  11. Conway7305
    NAM actually trended south again! But still not much snow, front end thump. Trending in right direction
  12. Conway7305
    Will take E 46!
  13. Conway7305
    Massive! Does that include both storms?
  14. Conway7305
    Nice
  15. Conway7305
    IMO. If we can get 4 or more inches, I am happy. I don’t care about sleet/ice as long as 4 inches falls imo. Just don’t wanna see the grass blades…lol
  16. Conway7305
    And whatever falls is going to stick around for a while as temps will plummet
  17. Conway7305
    Beautiful https://x.com/wxriskgrains/status/1875240323628331167?s=46
  18. Conway7305
    my house in short pump is basically the bulls eye..:lol That is a heck of a adjustment on the models since yesterday
  19. Conway7305
    Wow!!
  20. Conway7305
    12z GFS didn’t shift that much however there’s a front end thumb and back end thump. Should help totals some. Also, did anybody see the storm GFS is showing for the 12th? hmmm
  21. Conway7305
    NAM did tic south though from 06z
  22. Conway7305
    The NAM looked terrible. Even DC gets the shaft. After a front end thump. However, can we rely on the NAM?
  23. Conway7305
    Any chance cold air damming can keep it snowing longer?
  24. Conway7305
    Will accumulate maybe an inch or two before changeover to sleet then ice. Storm isn’t over at hour 84. Looks life you want all snow will need to drive to Mason Dixon line
  25. Conway7305
    Yep! And it’s a Miller A storm which works out better for us
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