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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. Take the short range HRRR for what it’s worth but some folks in Mid Atlantic forum are saying northern vortex has been weakening on past few runs which helps increase precip field north. Here is the latest HRRR run
  2. Just north of the city stays mostly snow for now on 0z NAM
  3. Went to 5 grocery stores in Henrico, all sold out of water. Guess it’s boil time…lol
  4. Good write up by Tomer Burg. Lot of moving parts with this next storm. https://x.com/burgwx/status/1876447623353414019?s=46
  5. 18z NAM looked healthy for precip build in SE at 84 hr.
  6. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14ePPFwrCw/?mibextid=wwXIfr
  7. looks like about an inch additional, maybe 1.5
  8. Ensemble mean still pretty decent for 12z GEFS
  9. RIC do you have the ensemble members for 12z GEFS?
  10. How much is it expected with the batch coming in tonight? Anybody know?
  11. haha GFS is now showing 3 storms after this one all the way out to end of run and cold reloading.
  12. This is an exciting night. Snow piling up and two potential BIG DOGS to track! Gotta love the -NAO +PNA WPO combo. MJO also In colder phases.
  13. I just corrected the date…lol a week before the 2016 storm we had a minor appetizer snow kinda like now. Got old pics and videos saved on my phone.
  14. Remember the 2016 storm when all maior models locked in a week early. Feels eerily similar.
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