Conway7305

Light flurries in Henrico now

Nothing but Virga in Henrico

I saw that on 0z for 1/30, everything looks good that far out….lol We also lost all the snow we had today in our backyard . At least the ponds will freeze up somewhat next 3-4 days.

LR GFS fantasy spitting out BS again…lol

Yeah,I’m right with you. Pattern Change after next week and MJO going into warm phases, AO and NAO both positive . EPO not ideal. Not to be a downer but my guess is we don’t see any real threats until later this winter or towards March once everything reshuffles again. Maybe it reshuffles sooner. I actually thought we would score something this week with the cold push:/

A few huge hits, are they the combination of two storms or just one?

Friday system

Im actually working in VA Beach Wednesday overnight so maybe I can catch some of the coastal snows.

I agree and hope we get 2-4. That would be amazing. It’s trending the wrong way now but maybe it will come back. Euro about to start running.

Yep, next week is looking dry with maybe a potential threat next Friday. CMC sliding away to GFS on storm #2. I think we may have to wait for the next pattern change/ flip if nothing happens next Friday. MJO going into warm phases and NAO and AO both positive. Maybe the 12z Euro surprises but I doubt it.

NAM does show Mid week storm precip shield further NW even though it only goes out to 84. FWIW https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011812&fh=84&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=ref1km_ptype&m=nam

Looks like Tuesday Wednesday storm is going to be a southern slider, I still hope the CMC is still right but it’s going against all other guidance. Models trending in the wrong direction this am . Sunday storm will hopefully give us an inch so we can see some white for a few days being so cold.

Still plenty of time. 5 more days to trend more NW hopefully.

Caving to the CMC??? lol

I can’t tell if the storm shifted NW or precip field just expanded more NW. Regardless , a good run