Jump to content

HVSnowLover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,952

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Faster is better for frozen, surprised to see it starting as plain rain for some of the area even with the low dewpoints
  2. HVSnowLover
    Eh somewhat, this is radiational cooling which is not really reflective of temps tomorrow morning. I think Westchester will see frozen tomorrow morning where as the city may see barely any frozen but the temp difference won't be this dramatic after daybreak and when the clouds roll in
  3. HVSnowLover
    Seems they are going very climo with this. Would agree at this point with this setup.
  4. HVSnowLover
    People are taking 10:1 ratio maps too literally, there is potential Monday but I wouldn't take those clown maps verbatim. There is a reason Upton right now is calling for advisory level snow for the city and I agree. I'd be happy with advisory level snow for early December.
  5. HVSnowLover
    CT coast and LI shafted, everyone else does well. Actually thats only through 60, areas further east get some snow after hour 60
  6. HVSnowLover
    Definitely not always but in this case the precip shield seems to be expanding which is a good sign
  7. HVSnowLover
    Have to say NAM and Euro now look very similar with the east vs west gradient, poor CT
  8. HVSnowLover
    I know it happens but not that often, the most vivid example I can remember is the snowicane. Usually in recent years the north shore of LI has faired better than the city in marginal setups
  9. HVSnowLover
    Yep as you said earlier high bust potential in both directions with this storm
  10. HVSnowLover
    Don't often see the city pouring snow while LI is raining but can happen
  11. HVSnowLover
    Northern NJ and Lower HV will get crushed. The surface temps for the city worry me but might be overcome if it's heavy enough
  12. HVSnowLover
    If it comes in really heavy with the low dewpoints it will help with rapid evaporational cooling. Unfortunately the warm push is also very strong. I would not rule out an hour or two of very heavy snow/sleet though even down to places like the North Bronx/Upper Manhattan/North shore of LI
  13. HVSnowLover
    Yea probably, for the city I would say yes, for the suburbs travel could be very tricky tomorrow late morning/early afternoon.
  14. HVSnowLover
    NAM really comes in like a wall tomorrow, it's too bad the airmass wasn't just a bit colder, could get really nasty just NW of the city if it comes in like that
  15. HVSnowLover
    Not likely since the forecast for the city is so volatile. It will be a last minute type of thing on Monday
  16. HVSnowLover
    This storm honestly is giving me a headache, I really don't like the setup for the coast but I can also see how it can turn out well if everything falls into place.
  17. HVSnowLover
    If Manhattan/Queens get more snow from this then Northeast Westchester and interior CT I will be pretty shocked, it's possible if the banding goes right over the city but very unlikely in an early December storm with this type of synoptic setup
  18. HVSnowLover
    Interesting now a West vs East gradient as opposed to north vs south. Very different from previous runs.
  19. HVSnowLover
    Yea seems like Northern NJ and the HV are consistently being shown to do really well on Monday
  20. HVSnowLover
    I mean yea if you're relying on that good luck lol but it can happen
  21. HVSnowLover
    Yep that is what upton is forecasting now the main accumulating snow in the city to be Monday night
  22. HVSnowLover
    I know the GFS temps are a joke but my point is if the secondary is tracking closer to the coast it will create more issues changing to all snow at the coast.
  23. HVSnowLover
    No it's not but it just makes sense given overall storm setup, the GFS has the secondary low almost going over NYC, that would favor inland areas to get the snow.
  24. HVSnowLover
    This seems to be the latest trend, the good snow stays north of the city on the models. I also think the boundary layer may be an issue for the city even on Monday.
  25. HVSnowLover
    Looks a bit improved for almost everyone, still a minor event for the city which is what I am expecting.
×
×
  • Create New...