Jump to content

HVSnowLover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,952

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    RGEM continues the colder trend, looks like a pretty impactful icing event for many in the area may be unfolding
  2. HVSnowLover
    Yea the 850 push was not as strong as this run. Looked only a little north of I84 at its warmest point, if it pans out like this I think this could be mostly snow/sleet inland. I also think happening overnight keeps everyone colder, could be a Snow/Sleet to ZR event even for the immediate suburbs
  3. HVSnowLover
    The front end is juicier too.
  4. HVSnowLover
    NAM is starting to make this very interesting again.
  5. HVSnowLover
    If there is no initial precip I think it's an all rain event for the city. Maybe 32 degree ZR for Bronx/Upper Manhattan at the start but you won't see much icing until inland. The city needs that initial push to come through, it would also help knock down temps to get that initial burst.
  6. HVSnowLover
    This area is really dependent on the initial push, the RGEM for example has it making it to our area, some models don't. That would be your snow producer, anything after that would likely be rain coast/ice inland.
  7. HVSnowLover
    If I were to guess I'd say 287 will be the dividing line between a cold soaking rain and disruptive icing. I know that's not a big statement but in this storm the freezing line doesn't seem to move much at all the entire time and thats usually where the freezing line sets up.
  8. HVSnowLover
    The icing threat NW of the city will be the big story, however as usual the city and immediate surrounding areas should warm enough for cold rain after the initial snow/sleet
  9. HVSnowLover
    Really depends how far north that first front end burst makes it and how fast it comes in. That's the snow chance.
  10. HVSnowLover
    Yes will definitely change many times but that QPF is pretty
  11. HVSnowLover
    Next weeks storm looks like another non event for the coast, brief mix or snow to rain. Again an interesting storm inland but seems more icy than snowy. Yes I know it can change but this seems to be the pattern so far this year.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Maybe congrats Jersey coast and LI with this one if theres enough precip, I said I was always more worried about supression than too far NW. The city will probably see an inch at most.
  13. HVSnowLover
    18Z GFS and NAM looked pretty good for the metro area.
  14. HVSnowLover
    Cold air not as big of the issue as lack of QPF on the most recent model runs
  15. HVSnowLover
    Looks like maybe a few hours of moderate snow with temps at or above freezing, seems similar to the last event. Without heavy rates I don't see this doing much.
  16. HVSnowLover
    Yea that's what I'd expect if it's a more amped up and further NW solution, if it's further SE the totals will not be as high due to the temp issues.
  17. HVSnowLover
    Yea probably someone just NW of the I95 corridor will have the best shot at 4+ where theres enough cold air and enough precip
  18. HVSnowLover
    Yep at the coast especially you need crazy dynamics to go from 60 to a big snowstorm. Nobodies calling for a big storm though, a few inches is a reasonable expectation with this.
  19. HVSnowLover
    Yes that's not what we have here.
  20. HVSnowLover
    I'm probably a little more worried about suppression than too far north with this. Either way temps very marginal but think if the precip is heavy enough it will stick.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Temps do mean something if it's above freezing during the storm, we just saw the impact with the last event.
  22. HVSnowLover
    Still sounds better than most of the area
  23. HVSnowLover
    Same in Southeast Yonkers, first time all day it's looked like a snowstorm out
  24. HVSnowLover
    Ripping out now, we'll see how long it lasts
  25. HVSnowLover
    Picking up a bit again in intensity, still barely sticking, basically done with this storm
×
×
  • Create New...