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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. I know it won't matter for us but the weekend storm is pretty interesting to track from a weather perspective, the temperature contrast is insane from north to south and the icing could be really bad for some in CNE/NNE
  2. Yes where temps right now are at or below freezing NW of the city this could lay a half inch to maybe an inch in some spots
  3. Probably too warm in the city to get any accumulation with such a light event but at least we should see mood flakes in a few hours
  4. I haven';t followed that closely but GFS looks like it trended way SE with the storm for next weekend compared to previous runs NAM/GFS also both look NW with the mid week storm and is close to clipping the city with a few inches
  5. At this point my mentality is if it's not going to snow, may as well be warm, I don't mind the mild weather. The worst patterns to me are when it's cold but then storms track to the west and we warm and up and get rain.
  6. This is how Van Cortlandt Park looks. The trees are very glazed in the northwest Bronx.
  7. On the snow part for sure but the ZR has been real in some areas.
  8. 33/27 here, rain/snow/sleet mix, minimal sleet accumulation
  9. Part of the issue I think is the precip is too light, part of what got me a bit more excited earlier was seeing heavy precip come in quick, that is what you need for front end surprises in these type of events, otherwise you end up with a few hours of a sloppy mess.
  10. Yea we are starting to see some dynamic cooling, dewpoints should allow temps to still drop a few degrees across the area as precip intensifies
  11. Snow/Sleet here , car tops a little icy, everything else wet
  12. Surface temps warmer than I would've expected honestly. Seems like this will be a rain event for anyone in or near the city with the ZR confined to the usual NW of I287 places
  13. Yes will definitely change many times but that QPF is pretty
  14. Next weeks storm looks like another non event for the coast, brief mix or snow to rain. Again an interesting storm inland but seems more icy than snowy. Yes I know it can change but this seems to be the pattern so far this year.
  15. Yep at the coast especially you need crazy dynamics to go from 60 to a big snowstorm. Nobodies calling for a big storm though, a few inches is a reasonable expectation with this.
  16. Yes that's not what we have here.
  17. Temps do mean something if it's above freezing during the storm, we just saw the impact with the last event.
  18. Would like to see the Euro come south to really feel like this storm is in business (it still has accumulating snow only north of the city) however I like the trends a lot. If nothing else the timing of the precip on the frontend has sped up which means it should definitely start snow or sleet.
  19. CMC is even colder this run, it's probably the outlier at this point but it's pretty to look at.
  20. GFS still a mess but it's slowing getting there toward the other models
  21. There's a lot of sleet so I wouldn't take those snow maps verbatim but I would definitely sign up for that CMC run overall, would be a fun storm.
  22. CMC is south again and colder than 12Z
  23. GFS showing signs of being a little better, still don't think this is our storm but hoping to see some flakes
  24. Yep timing not that favorable either, precip coming in during the daytime hours on Sunday will allow some warming before precip comes in. Of course last November precip came in the afternoon and we all know what happened but as of now this looks like a less favorable setup for front end snow.
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