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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    I know it won't matter for us but the weekend storm is pretty interesting to track from a weather perspective, the temperature contrast is insane from north to south and the icing could be really bad for some in CNE/NNE
  2. HVSnowLover
    Ripping pretty good out, car tops are getting covered
  3. HVSnowLover
    Yes where temps right now are at or below freezing NW of the city this could lay a half inch to maybe an inch in some spots
  4. HVSnowLover
    Probably too warm in the city to get any accumulation with such a light event but at least we should see mood flakes in a few hours
  5. HVSnowLover
    I haven';t followed that closely but GFS looks like it trended way SE with the storm for next weekend compared to previous runs NAM/GFS also both look NW with the mid week storm and is close to clipping the city with a few inches
  6. HVSnowLover
    At this point my mentality is if it's not going to snow, may as well be warm, I don't mind the mild weather. The worst patterns to me are when it's cold but then storms track to the west and we warm and up and get rain.
  7. HVSnowLover
    This is how Van Cortlandt Park looks. The trees are very glazed in the northwest Bronx.
  8. HVSnowLover
    On the snow part for sure but the ZR has been real in some areas.
  9. HVSnowLover
    33/27 here, rain/snow/sleet mix, minimal sleet accumulation
  10. HVSnowLover
    Part of the issue I think is the precip is too light, part of what got me a bit more excited earlier was seeing heavy precip come in quick, that is what you need for front end surprises in these type of events, otherwise you end up with a few hours of a sloppy mess.
  11. HVSnowLover
    Yea we are starting to see some dynamic cooling, dewpoints should allow temps to still drop a few degrees across the area as precip intensifies
  12. HVSnowLover
    Snow/Sleet here , car tops a little icy, everything else wet
  13. HVSnowLover
    Surface temps warmer than I would've expected honestly. Seems like this will be a rain event for anyone in or near the city with the ZR confined to the usual NW of I287 places
  14. HVSnowLover
    In this case it's mostly ice for the places under advisories so it may be better to get plain rain. Will have to get well inland to see a solid sleet/snow event.
  15. HVSnowLover
    It also seems a bit warmer and more realistic in terms of where the ZR vs plain rain usually sets up
  16. HVSnowLover
    I've honestly never seen the NAM show over an inch qpf of ice for White Plains this close to an event. Usually the icing is confined to the far NW suburbs.
  17. HVSnowLover
    I know but it seems more like freezing rain than sleet type situation.
  18. HVSnowLover
    That's interesting because the precip type maps show mainly rain for the city and mainly freezing rain just north of the city. The snow/sleet is confined further north. Definitely a tricky forecast.
  19. HVSnowLover
    Agree doesn't make sense NYC/LI have the same criteria as NW NJ/NE PA. .25 Ice Accretion in NYC would be a big deal, it almost never happens. I think a.50 ice accretion is looking more and more likely for Northern NJ and the LHV, this storm is no joke and seems to be being downplayed by many.
  20. HVSnowLover
    NAM no joke with that initial precip, if only upper levels were a wee bit colder this could very different.
  21. HVSnowLover
    I'm not even sure it will work for places like Southern Westchester/CT Coast which right now are not under a WWA even though several models show temps at or below freezing until daybreak.
  22. HVSnowLover
    That initial shot would also lead to more dynamic evaporational cooling putting areas closer or even in the city at greater risk for ZR overnight
  23. HVSnowLover
    RGEM seems to agree with NAM, worst of the ice storm will be the immediate northwest burbs The thing to consider will be temps, 32 and ZR is not the same as 20s with ZR Think further up in the HV there will be more mixing with sleet.
  24. HVSnowLover
    That is very dangerous, usually places like White Plains don't get significant ZR but in this setup it really could happen.
  25. HVSnowLover
    The temp tomorrow morning has very little to do with what happens tomorrow night. The key to the storm will be how fast and heavy the initial precip comes in. If its heavy enough the dynamic cooling will allow for a period of snow or sleet
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