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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    GFS is a big hit next weekend for the interior and close to being big for the interior sections of the subforum, would favor inland but this one could still get interesting
  2. HVSnowLover
    Yes but as others have said yesterdays storm had a primary in Michigan, if the low tracks to the SE of us it can snow without artic air in January.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Clearly marginal and a dynamics dependent storm, it depends on the dynamics, if it blows up and hits the area then it could snow, the setup isn't great but it's possible.
  4. HVSnowLover
    You don't need an artic high to snow in the middle of winter, we've seen places to our south and east get a snow event two weeks ago. You just to get lucky with a storm track here or there, overall most storms will track to our NW but it can still snow in a bad pattern especially in the middle of winter
  5. HVSnowLover
    Yea especially at this time of the year, I agree I'd rather a more active pattern with a chance of snow and some moderation than having constant cold. The constant cold is good for a snowpack but beyond that it's not that enjoyable at least to me.
  6. HVSnowLover
    That's probably the last really exciting storm we've had
  7. HVSnowLover
    Easier to predict when the totals are always low
  8. HVSnowLover
    November 2018? That got pretty wild.
  9. HVSnowLover
    Yea I don't even think most of Westchester really mixed so I'd be surprised if Rockland did.
  10. HVSnowLover
    I drove home from the city. The road conditions changed dramatically almost on que near the bronx/yonkers line. I'm right at the border and its above freezing and been a mix for the last half hour but it seems a bit to my north temps are still below freezing.
  11. HVSnowLover
    Surprised to hear it mixed in Rockland County
  12. HVSnowLover
    33 and ripping sleet, I hope it ends before it changes to rain
  13. HVSnowLover
    No matter WHAT the setup is LI always seems to do better than the city, its pretty crazy especially for a storm like this with SE winds.
  14. HVSnowLover
    Cold air fighting hard still, snow/sleet mix. Eyeballing around 3 to 3.5 inches
  15. HVSnowLover
    We've gotten front end snow with lows going into the lakes before but I can't recall a storm where the primary went to the lakes and we didn't flip to an extended period of rain which seems will not happen at least from the City and points NW
  16. HVSnowLover
    This doesn't have enough qpf for that even if temps fully cooperated which is still iffy in the city
  17. HVSnowLover
    Getting a GLC to produce almost all snow for this area is a miracle but in a winter where this isn't much going for us, we need some small miracles
  18. HVSnowLover
    The RGEM is a quick hitter and basically all snow from Manhattan/Bronx and points NW. NAM is more juicy with more of a secondary development but also pulls in more warm air Tricky forecast still but overall pretty good consensus of around 2-5 inches for most of the region
  19. HVSnowLover
    The NAM kind of has one main wave while the GFS seems to show two distinct bands one to the south up to about the city and one well north of the city. The RGEM has heavier precip over the city and LHV but its warm for the city So theres still some minor discrepancies to sort out when trying to predict totals
  20. HVSnowLover
    GFS is basically an all snow event from the city and points NW, qpf is still low.
  21. HVSnowLover
    RGEM warm for the coast at hour 48, looks like it would be a good run NW of the city
  22. HVSnowLover
    The trends today have been positive in starting the city below freezing at the beginning of the storm, this would really help with accumulation
  23. HVSnowLover
    A bit more juiced (which is a known NAM Bias) but yes I would take this run and run with it
  24. HVSnowLover
    NAM looks good, also seems to be showing signs of secondary development if I'm viewing it correctly
  25. HVSnowLover
    That would almost double the total snowfall the city has seen all winter lol
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