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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Yea I noticed dewpoints are still pretty low, theres room for evaporational cooling for sure, obviously will only have any real impact for the interior zones of the area.
  2. HVSnowLover
    Don't think I can recall so much rain forecasted for one week in Feburary.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Didn't we have March two years ago produce like 4 snowstorms for the area, it can definitely happen if the pattern is right. (Yes I'm aware some of those storms were dissapointing but definitely performed bigtime for parts of the region)
  4. HVSnowLover
    Probably mostly sleet/ZR with the initial push in your area, then rain and maybe ending as snow Friday afternoon.
  5. HVSnowLover
    There may be wet flakes at the very end down to the NW suburbs but that's about it.
  6. HVSnowLover
    CMC caves for Thursday
  7. HVSnowLover
    Yea I feel I need to go somewhere at some point this winter to see snow but Killington is too far thats why I wish the snow line actually would at least push down to the Catskills.
  8. HVSnowLover
    There's no real reason not to, every threat gets worse and worse, every pattern change gets delayed and delayed. It may just not happen this winter. I'm sure it will snow again but I doubt we get a good pattern.
  9. HVSnowLover
    The cutter was flatter on the 12Z Euro than 0Z and yet the second storm was way worse so I'm not sure how much one impacts the other
  10. HVSnowLover
    Honestly the models have been showing the snow line pushing down to CNE for weeks now and that hasn't even been happening. This is just a pathetic winter almost everywhere until we see otherwise
  11. HVSnowLover
    All the models have been awful though, even the Euro has been bad with storms this winter. I do completely agree with you though to think of climo/setups when considering likely outcomes more than what models are spitting out
  12. HVSnowLover
    And the CMC has a significant icestorm even down to the immediate Northern burbs of NYC, models are so awful this winter.
  13. HVSnowLover
    Yea this is why I don't care about what models show 6 days out
  14. HVSnowLover
    How is the front end on Thursday on the Euro?
  15. HVSnowLover
    I'd say it's more than guessing but I agree I wouldn't trust anything it shows until the next two storms are nailed down
  16. HVSnowLover
    All 3 models are a snow event right now but the line is very close to the city and we all know how the trends go... but this may be the best chance
  17. HVSnowLover
    It may be real and it's somewhat promising every model has it but I'm sure the depiction (temps, intensity, strength etc) will dramatically change depending on what the 3 storms before it do
  18. HVSnowLover
    CMC/GFS both with a solid icing event Thursday for basically all the NW suburbs, this seems to be the biggest possible threat of the week right now.
  19. HVSnowLover
    This far out I'm not even bothering especially when there are 3 storms still to sort out before this
  20. HVSnowLover
    The CMC PCPN Type maps are out for 0Z
  21. HVSnowLover
    0Z Updates so far GFS doesn't really like Thursday at all anymore, very focused on Friday-Saturday as the main storm CMC lost the snowstorm, still has a solid sleet/ZR event for many in the area on Thursday
  22. HVSnowLover
    GFS is way SE with wave 3, just another scenario on the table. Lot to sort out in the next 24-48 hours
  23. HVSnowLover
    Wave 2 could definitely be frozen to the coast, it depends where the gradient sets up, I would still favor Sleet/ZR over snow but you definitely rule out a burst of heavy snow
  24. HVSnowLover
    Still looks potentially icy for wave 2 especially NW but thats about it
  25. HVSnowLover
    GFS way north, there goes the fantasy of this becoming interesting
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