HVSnowLover
-
Posts
2,952 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by HVSnowLover
-
0Z Updates so far GFS doesn't really like Thursday at all anymore, very focused on Friday-Saturday as the main storm CMC lost the snowstorm, still has a solid sleet/ZR event for many in the area on Thursday
-
GFS is way SE with wave 3, just another scenario on the table. Lot to sort out in the next 24-48 hours
-
Wave 2 could definitely be frozen to the coast, it depends where the gradient sets up, I would still favor Sleet/ZR over snow but you definitely rule out a burst of heavy snow
-
Still looks potentially icy for wave 2 especially NW but thats about it
-
GFS way north, there goes the fantasy of this becoming interesting
-
It is unimpressive for the immediate metro area, obviously it depends where you live in the subforum.
-
I think sleet and freezing rain are possible for parts of the area especially NW of the city but I'm still having a hard time seeing a snow event from this, at least not until any models other than the GFS show this.
-
I'm not even going to let the 18Z GFS reel me in to think next weeks storm could be remotely interesting in our area although it does have some support from the CMC in terms of the WAA precip possibly being wintry
-
Yea because of the temps issue I get where you are coming from although I think if it's west enough to snow in the Hudson Valley it will be strong enough to bring the snow line down to I95. We are far away from that solution right now.
-
Not so much cold but definitely snowy, the coast had a great run in terms of intense snowstorms.
-
Agree a weak low at or east of the benchmark is rain/snow showers. This needs to be sub 990 and tracking inside the BM for the majority of the subforum to have a chance. Until I see that this is a non event.
-
We know storms tend to trend west so the models are really not in an awful spot for 4 days out, I just don't know if a scraper will do it temp wise for the area. We probably need a bomb closer to the coast in this type of scenario which is looking more and more unlikely but still not impossible.
-
A bit more west and bombing out earlier would be ideal but yea too much more west and we are going to get the boats ready and the way this winter is going that wouldn't shock me.
-
GFS verbatim is warm for the coast but with a low in that spot at that strength I think this would be mostly snow for everyone. This could be big if it bombs out a bit earlier
-
GFS way NW
-
Clearly marginal and a dynamics dependent storm, it depends on the dynamics, if it blows up and hits the area then it could snow, the setup isn't great but it's possible.
