Haven't really had a storm like this in a while, upper levels should be okay, surface will be an issue near the coast, big worry would be it trends north in track, if the track holds it could be a wet paste for many of the suburbs.
He said interior areas, it can still snow north of the city in late March, also for once it's the Euro that is showing the threat as opposed to the horrendous GFS.
Yes to me light or moderate is not a real storm anyway, if it's heavy then it's snow, the airmass won't be an issue if the low is closer to the coast and the precip is intense. But yea we're a long way from that and with where the models are at and the say the winter is going I'm sure it will stay well out to sea
I'm not actually that worriedf about the airmass, we're talking a sub 980 low here, it's a hit or miss meaning either we miss or get scraped with nothing (most likely outcome) or if it's close enough to be a real storm it will change to heavy wet snow with dynamics
This will probably be another fail but I actually think this has the best chance of anything we've had this winter, enough to bring me back for this forum to track for one final time
Think approximately March 1-6 will be our window if there is going to be any last gasp of winter, the way this is going more likely it will lead to nothing, obviously where you are theres a slightly better chance of something
In this winter its been the case though, every storm/pattern has trended worse as we get closer, I can't think of a storm or pattern since December that has actually trended more favorable as we got closer so if it shows rain now its probably going to rain. We did snow from the GLC which I guess was the win of the winter if you consider around 2 inches for the metro area a win
This is definitely the worst winter I've ever experienced in my lifetime, usually you find a way to sneak a front end thump here or there or a thread the needle storm even in awful winters. It's really looking like there will be no snow the entire month of Feburary in NYC Metro which has to be historic.
Seems any storm with any promise ends up plowing inland this winter yet somehow North Carolina is managing to get a snowstorm, we haven't gotten really a break on one storm all winter
I don't think NYC has had any days of snowcover this year outside of the day of the storm, the biggest storm of the winter the 1.8 inches from the GLC melted by the end of the night so March can't be any worse
Yea I get what you are saying but to me a true 2 foot storm is a major event and that on it's own could make up for the winter especially near the coast where we are more reliant on a few major storms than snow throughout the winter, inland I know it's a bit different.