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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. Haven't really had a storm like this in a while, upper levels should be okay, surface will be an issue near the coast, big worry would be it trends north in track, if the track holds it could be a wet paste for many of the suburbs.
  2. Looks pretty typical for a late March storm where the city gets the shaft. This is definitely possible, we'll see where it's at 12z tomorrow
  3. Becoming a real threat for NW of I287, I know people will minimize but Euro has been steady with showing this
  4. CMC now on board with a solid hit for the interior and even front end flakes at the coast, well see if 12Z Euro holds
  5. He said interior areas, it can still snow north of the city in late March, also for once it's the Euro that is showing the threat as opposed to the horrendous GFS.
  6. Yes to me light or moderate is not a real storm anyway, if it's heavy then it's snow, the airmass won't be an issue if the low is closer to the coast and the precip is intense. But yea we're a long way from that and with where the models are at and the say the winter is going I'm sure it will stay well out to sea
  7. I'm not actually that worriedf about the airmass, we're talking a sub 980 low here, it's a hit or miss meaning either we miss or get scraped with nothing (most likely outcome) or if it's close enough to be a real storm it will change to heavy wet snow with dynamics
  8. This will probably be another fail but I actually think this has the best chance of anything we've had this winter, enough to bring me back for this forum to track for one final time
  9. This is probably the most I've ever looked forward to March. There's nothing about this winter to miss.
  10. This winter is so done, at least the models aren't even teasing
  11. Think approximately March 1-6 will be our window if there is going to be any last gasp of winter, the way this is going more likely it will lead to nothing, obviously where you are theres a slightly better chance of something
  12. It's hard for it to be as bad, even a normal bad winter is very different from this, this is not just a typical bad winter, this is historically bad
  13. GFS trending toward Euro for Thursday, big dynamic snowstorm way inland
  14. In this winter its been the case though, every storm/pattern has trended worse as we get closer, I can't think of a storm or pattern since December that has actually trended more favorable as we got closer so if it shows rain now its probably going to rain. We did snow from the GLC which I guess was the win of the winter if you consider around 2 inches for the metro area a win
  15. Its better than the gfs which has the low over Rochester but still not going to be close for us
  16. Euro would probably be nice for some parts of the interior next Thursday, for us lots of rain and wind, fun fun fun
  17. Yea it shows how big a difference though being a little inland makes, your bad winter is close to NYC's average
  18. It was mostly snow even in the city but it changed to rain at the end and then was like 40 degrees all night so it was all gone by the next day
  19. Its looking very unlikely those 3 cities will hit those totals for this entire winter (maybe Boston has, I'm not sure)
  20. This is definitely the worst winter I've ever experienced in my lifetime, usually you find a way to sneak a front end thump here or there or a thread the needle storm even in awful winters. It's really looking like there will be no snow the entire month of Feburary in NYC Metro which has to be historic.
  21. Seems any storm with any promise ends up plowing inland this winter yet somehow North Carolina is managing to get a snowstorm, we haven't gotten really a break on one storm all winter
  22. I don't think NYC has had any days of snowcover this year outside of the day of the storm, the biggest storm of the winter the 1.8 inches from the GLC melted by the end of the night so March can't be any worse
  23. In this winter this would be the perfect caper, I'm skeptical of 7 inches on the SC coast though
  24. That's good, no where to go but up from here lol
  25. Yea I get what you are saying but to me a true 2 foot storm is a major event and that on it's own could make up for the winter especially near the coast where we are more reliant on a few major storms than snow throughout the winter, inland I know it's a bit different.
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