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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Seems SNE did better than the HV, they had better dynamics further east.
  2. HVSnowLover
    The trend has definitely been further south and colder but uptons map doesn't match their point and click forecasts which doesn't mention any snow anywhere near the city. I wouldn't be surprised if there are some pellets or white rain near the city but that would be it, if that.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Agree, there is no way it is going to stick at the coast, based on the last two events I could see some wet flakes/pellets mixed in a little especially in the NW suburbs but you will have to get north of I84 at least to get accumulating snow
  4. HVSnowLover
    Looks like at least some snow for Ulster/Sullivan/and Dutchess tomorrow, maybe down to Orange/Putnam
  5. HVSnowLover
    Euro is showing signs of this for next week, although I feel this is way more a threat for New England than south of New England because ingredient A is missing
  6. HVSnowLover
    Latest Euro has 6+ for a large part of Orange, Dutchess, and Ulster counties but hard to see that happening
  7. HVSnowLover
    Looking at webcams looks like a real nice burst sticking to grass in Central Westchester
  8. HVSnowLover
    Latest models have ticked colder again for the HV especially north of I84
  9. HVSnowLover
    Sleet/Snow/Rain, cartops getting a bit slushy
  10. HVSnowLover
    White Rain/Sleet Mix here
  11. HVSnowLover
    Latest RGEM looks like a frozen mixed bag of everything for you guys
  12. HVSnowLover
    Depends what you are referring to as our area, it definitely happens for the interior zones. I would lean that it's rain to slop for the interior areas so I agree I wouldn't expect an accumulating snow event for lower elevations in the subforum from either event at this point
  13. HVSnowLover
    NAM is 1-2 inches for the HV, doesn't even give the catskills that much, looks like Adirondacks and part of NE do well. Storm 2 will be extremely dynamic dependent, no cold air in place, the Euro and to some extent the CMC are hinting at dynamics flipping rain to snow in the interior but we know the trend this winter is for models to overestimate storm strength/dynamic cooling in the medium range
  14. HVSnowLover
    Don't look at the weenie maps if you live NW of I287 for Wednesday on the Euro lol, we'll see how long until it caves
  15. HVSnowLover
    Most of the models are still showing heavy snow especially for the western catskills, think the warning is legit
  16. HVSnowLover
    Would probably need to be near Albany to have any chance at 3-5 in lower elevations, anywhere in this subforum would be 1-3 at best
  17. HVSnowLover
    Catskills still look like a good spot for this, could be very elevation dependent event.
  18. HVSnowLover
    Yea City may be all rain, NW Suburbs are white rain to rain, north of I84 may see some accumulation but probably not much in lower elevations Good Call again although in this winter (if we call it that?) predicting it to trend warmer is pretty much the easy call.
  19. HVSnowLover
    Looks reasonable, I am not even sure Poughkeepsie will get 1-3 now that the models show a more quicker mid level warming than before but should be a frozen mess in the HV for part of the day tomorrow
  20. HVSnowLover
    Yep it caved, this is the one winter (I know it's not technically still winter) where literally every single storm has trended worse closer to the event. Still might see some wet flakes in the air briefly tomorrow morning
  21. HVSnowLover
    NAM is actually a legit advisory level event for most areas NW of the city but the NAM is on it's own right now
  22. HVSnowLover
    Yea from late November to early March the NAM is a great look but at this time of year even the NAM is probably white rain to rain for many
  23. HVSnowLover
    Yea given the winter I certainly wouldn't be surprised if this ends up a complete non event, however the only thing that has me tracking is the Euros consistency
  24. HVSnowLover
    18Z GFS now getting on board, to be honest it may end up too far north/rain and given the winter a north trend is certainly possible but as of now most models are agreeing on a snowstorm for interior portions of the subforum
  25. HVSnowLover
    When has the Euro had this kind of look under 5 days out since December?
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